Lee Chang-dong’s Possible Love Starring Jeon Do-yeon Wins Venice Grand Jury Prize

The story so far

6 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 21 Oct 2026. IndieWire published first, on 21 October at 20:00 UTC; The New York Times followed 13h 02m later. The most recent article, from The Verge, appeared on 24 October at 12:30 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The New York Times (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), The Guardian Culture (major outlet), Movies | Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), The Verge (major outlet), IndieWire.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Possible Love — the market puts it at 16%, closing 4 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if the film wins Best Foreign Language Film at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. It resolves to No if it does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake the Venice Grand Jury Prize for the deciding factor, but only the Critics Choice Award outcome matters.
• Possible Love — the market puts it at 73%, with $756 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film receives a nomination for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if it does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake winning other awards, such as the Venice Grand Jury Prize, as sufficient for a Yes outcome.
• Possible Love — the market puts it at 1%, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if the film Possible Love wins Best Picture at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the Venice Grand Jury Prize win for the deciding factor, but only the Critics Choice Award outcome matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.