Karl Bushby Near Home After 28-Year Walk Across Globe
The British adventurer who has trekked 31,000 miles is expected to reach his mother's house in England next week.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 26 Oct, 01:02 UTC | 99% |
| 24 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 95% |
| 20 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 94% |
| 29 Sept, 20:49 UTC | 95% |
| 24 Sept, 03:00 UTC | 97% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 29 Oct 2026. The New York Times published first, on 29 October at 09:29 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before 2030 — resolved “Yes” on 2 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Karl Bushby arrives in Hull, England, before January 1, 2030. It resolves to No if he does not reach that specific destination by that date. Readers often mistake the start of his walk for the deadline or assume any arrival in the UK counts instead of just Hull.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Before 2030 Yes 4d ago
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Karl Bushby