Supreme Court Hears Boulder Climate Case; Australian High Court Blocks Coal Mine

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on a case primarily related to tariffs imposed by Donald Trump at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

1. 28 Sept, 18:27The Hill NewsAlito recuses from case that could toss climate suits against oil companies21%
2. 28 Sept, 19:35CBS News PoliticsAlito recuses himself from major case on climate change and fossil fuels21%
3. 28 Sept, 21:47The Guardian USSamuel Alito steps aside in a major climate case amid scrutiny over oil stock holdings21%
4. 29 Sept, 01:24Inside Climate NewsAlito’s Recusal From Climate Case: Too Little, Too Late?21%
5. 29 Sept, 19:24Mother JonesJudges Keep Striking Down Climate Laws. Some States Are Fighting Back.16%▼5 points since the previous source
6. 29 Sept, 20:34Fox News PoliticsSupreme Court climate showdown jolted by Alito's last-minute decision16%
7. 1 Oct, 16:37The New York TimesStates Sue Over Trump’s Repeal of Climate Rules for Power Plants15%▼1 points since the previous source
8. 1 Oct, 16:49Mother JonesAlito’s Recusal From a Key Climate Case May Be Too Little, Too Late15%
9. 1 Oct, 16:59Washington PostStates sue to stop Trump’s retreat on power plant emissions15%
10. 2 Oct, 10:30National ReviewWhy the Supreme Court Should Shut Down Boulder’s Climate Case18%▲3 points since the previous source
11. Show 48 later sources

    1. 2 Oct, 12:48AxiosWhat to watch in the Supreme Court's big climate case18%
    2. 2 Oct, 19:38Inside Climate NewsNew Jersey’s Middlesex County Sues Big Oil Over Escalating Climate Impacts15%▼3 points since the previous source
    3. 4 Oct, 09:00The New York TimesA Supreme Court Battle Over Climate Change Begins10%▼5 points since the previous source
    4. 4 Oct, 10:00Washington PostShould Big Oil pay for climate change? A Supreme Court case will help decide.10%
    5. 4 Oct, 10:30National ReviewThe Question of Emissions Liability Finally Heads to the Right Court10%
    6. 4 Oct, 11:00CBS News PoliticsSupreme Court to weigh energy companies' bid to end climate-change suit10%
    7. 4 Oct, 16:42Bloomberg MarketsSupreme Court Opens Term With Climate Fight9%▼1 points since the previous source
    8. 5 Oct, 09:00NPR PoliticsSupreme Court's new term kicks off with blockbuster climate change case11%▲2 points since the previous source
    9. 5 Oct, 09:00Energy & EnvironmentWho’s who in Monday’s Supreme Court climate showdown11%
    10. 5 Oct, 10:00Just In NewsSupreme Court to hear case Monday on if localities can sue oil companies for climate damages11%
    11. 5 Oct, 11:00News FeedBig Oil goes to US Supreme Court over pivotal climate damages claim11%
    12. 5 Oct, 11:07NPR WorldSCOTUS hears major climate change case. And, Brazil's presidential race goes to runoff11%
    13. 5 Oct, 12:00The HillThe oil industry should pay for climate change — and Congress should decide how11%
    14. 5 Oct, 12:53The HillLive updates: Supreme Court opens term with climate change case11%
    15. 5 Oct, 13:00The HillListen live: Supreme Court kicks off new term with major climate case11%
    16. 5 Oct, 13:34The Guardian USUS supreme court to hear big oil’s bid to block climate damage lawsuits11%
    17. 5 Oct, 16:37Bloomberg.comSupreme Court Tackles Climate Change, Dyed Diesel Limits, More11%
    18. 5 Oct, 17:37EosSupreme Court Opens New Term with Major Climate Case14%▲3 points since the previous source
    19. 5 Oct, 17:42Just In NewsJustices appear skeptical of oil companies’ bid to quash climate suits14%
    20. 5 Oct, 17:54CBS News PoliticsSupreme Court wrestles with energy companies' bid to block major climate suit14%
    21. 5 Oct, 17:59Energy & EnvironmentSupreme Court risks deadlock in blockbuster climate case14%
    22. 5 Oct, 19:02Roll CallState climate suits face skeptical Supreme Court14%
    23. 5 Oct, 19:23Washington PostSupreme Court grapples with case on holding Big Oil liable for climate change14%
    24. 5 Oct, 20:39Inside Climate NewsSupreme Court Weighs Landmark Climate Deception Case Against Oil Companies14%
    25. 5 Oct, 20:40The New York TimesWhy Cities and States Are Fighting Climate Change in Courtrooms14%
    26. 5 Oct, 20:45Fox News PoliticsSupreme Court begins new term with high-profile look at clean air and federal authority14%
    27. 5 Oct, 21:00CBS News Politics10/5: The Takeout with Major Garrett13%▼1 points since the previous source
    28. 5 Oct, 21:36Just In NewsSupreme Court hears major climate case13%
    29. 6 Oct, 03:54Bloomberg.comBloomberg Law: Will Climate Change Suits Survive?(Podcast)8%▼5 points since the previous source
    30. 6 Oct, 07:13The New York TimesSupreme Court Tangles Over a Major Climate Change Case8%
    31. 6 Oct, 09:43FortuneThe Supreme Court takes up climate costs. CEOs should worry about the cost of doing nothing8%
    32. 6 Oct, 11:00News FeedBig Oil’s day in court8%
    33. 6 Oct, 12:03Bloomberg MarketsBig Oil Faces Climate Reckoning in Supreme Court8%
    34. 6 Oct, 13:29Ars TechnicaBig Oil asks Supreme Court to kill climate lawsuits before trial8%
    35. 6 Oct, 17:51Mother Jones“They Knew, They Lied”: Fire Survivors Bring Their Fight to the Supreme Court’s Steps8%
    36. 6 Oct, 18:19Fox News PoliticsLiberal justices look for 'escape hatch' as high-stakes climate case lands at Supreme Court, experts say8%
    37. 6 Oct, 20:19The New York TimesSupreme Court Hears Boulder Climate Case8%
    38. 7 Oct, 01:44The Guardian ClimateHunter Valley community group wins landmark high court climate change case over Mount Pleasant coalmine15%▲7 points since the previous source
    39. 7 Oct, 02:17Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraAustralia top court rules against coal mine expansion, citing climate harm15%
    40. 7 Oct, 07:24The Guardian‘Lawyers should be running to courts’ to stop coal approvals after landmark ruling, NSW MP says15%
    41. 7 Oct, 09:00Inside Climate NewsNew Documents Add to Evidence in Climate Deception Case Against ExxonMobil9%▼6 points since the previous source
    42. 7 Oct, 12:00The HillRed states exude confidence after Supreme Court climate arguments9%
    43. 7 Oct, 14:00The GuardianOverseas, Albanese sees ‘the very definition of climate injustice’ – but at home, he still wants coal9%
    44. 7 Oct, 15:59News FeedAustralian court ruling on climate impact of coal mining a ‘blow’, says industry9%
    45. 7 Oct, 16:00The HillSupreme Court wrestles with Boulder’s climate lawsuit against fossil fuel companies9%
    46. 8 Oct, 13:01The EconomistBig Tobacco’s lessons for Big Oil14%▲5 points since the previous source
    47. 8 Oct, 14:04Ars TechnicaExxonMobil's own scientists doubted climate fixes the company hyped14%
    48. 8 Oct, 16:02National ReviewThe Supreme Court Asked the Question Boulder Can’t Answer13%▼1 points since the previous source
12. NowCurrent odds33%