Judge Dismisses Mariah Carey Brother’s Defamation Lawsuit Over Memoir
A judge has dismissed Morgan Carey's defamation lawsuit against his sister, ending a five-year legal battle over claims in her 2020 memoir.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Billboard, 2h 34m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 90% |
| 21 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 90% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 94% |
| 18 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 89% |
| 15 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 03:10 UTC | 93% |
| 12 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 89% |
| 9 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 91% |
| 9 Oct, 01:36 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 94% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Mariah Carey respond.
The story so far
6 publishers have covered this in 7 articles since 19 Oct 2026. Billboard published first, on 19 October at 21:40 UTC; Rolling Stone followed 2h 34m later. The most recent article, from South China Morning Post, appeared on 21 October at 06:58 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Variety (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet), Billboard, Rolling Stone, South China Morning Post.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Mariah Carey — the market puts it at 90%, closing 21 Dec 2026. Mariah Carey must have a song reach number one on the Billboard Hot 100 by the chart dated for the week of December 26, 2026. The outcome is Yes if this milestone occurs within that timeframe and No otherwise. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Mariah Carey at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- BillboardMariah Carey Wins Dismissal of Brother’s Defamation Lawsuit Over Bestselling Memoir89%
- Rolling StoneMariah Carey Beats Brother’s $20 Million Defamation Lawsuit Over Tell-All Memoir89%
- The Hollywood ReporterMariah Carey $20 Million Defamation Lawsuit Over Memoir Dismissed89%
- BillboardDrake ‘Janice STFU’ Lawsuit, Supreme Court Ruling, Mariah Carey Win & More Music Law94%▲5 points since the previous source
- VarietyMariah Carey Wins Dismissal of Brother’s Defamation Suit Over Memoir94%
- The GuardianMariah Carey wins dismissal of brother’s defamation lawsuit over her memoir94%
- South China Morning PostMariah Carey wins dismissal of US$20m defamation lawsuit filed by brother Morgan ... so who is he?94%
- Current odds90%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Mariah Carey wins dismissal of brother’s defamation lawsuit over her memoir The Guardian ·
- Mariah Carey Wins Dismissal of Brother’s Defamation Suit Over Memoir Variety ·
- Mariah Carey $20 Million Defamation Lawsuit Over Memoir Dismissed The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Mariah Carey wins dismissal of US$20m defamation lawsuit filed by brother Morgan ... so who is he? South China Morning Post
- Drake ‘Janice STFU’ Lawsuit, Supreme Court Ruling, Mariah Carey Win & More Music Law Billboard
- Mariah Carey Beats Brother’s $20 Million Defamation Lawsuit Over Tell-All Memoir Rolling Stone
- Mariah Carey Wins Dismissal of Brother’s Defamation Lawsuit Over Bestselling Memoir Billboard
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Mariah Carey 90%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Mariah Carey
- Morgan Carey