Metallica Delivers Spectacular Second Night at Las Vegas Sphere Residency
The band performed a unique 16-song setlist with no repeats from the opening night during their Life Burns Faster residency.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Rolling Stone, 40 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 26% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 26% |
| 26 Oct, 17:06 UTC | 25% |
| 25 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 32% |
| 25 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 26% |
| 24 Oct, 18:01 UTC | 32% |
| 23 Oct, 05:39 UTC | 33% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 32% |
| 18 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 29% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 35% |
| 12 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 34% |
| 11 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 27% |
| 7 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Oct, 16:12 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Sept, 07:44 UTC | 24% |
| 30 Sept, 07:22 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 17% |
| 27 Sept, 13:31 UTC | 75% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Coldplay respond.
The story so far
9 publishers have covered this in 29 articles since 28 Sept 2026. Rolling Stone published first, on 28 September at 16:00 UTC; Consequence followed 40 min later. The most recent article, from Billboard, appeared on 9 October at 21:13 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), The Guardian Culture (major outlet), Rolling Stone, Consequence, Billboard, Stereogum, NME, RSS: News.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Coldplay — the market puts it at 26%, with $22 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Coldplay performs at the Las Vegas Sphere during 2027. It resolves to No if they do not perform there in that year. Readers often mistake the linked story about John Mayer for a relevant event, but only Coldplay's performance counts.
- Metallica — resolved “No” on 27 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if Metallica headlines the Super Bowl halftime show before February 15, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the actual performance date.
- Las Vegas — the market puts it at 12%, closing 15 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Las Vegas hosts a playoff game during the 2026-27 season, excluding the Super Bowl. It resolves to No if no such game occurs in that specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news about concert residencies for relevant events or confuse the deadline with the start of the regular season.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Coldplay at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Rolling StoneJohn Mayer Will Return to the Sphere in 202775%
- ConsequenceJohn Mayer Announces 2027 Las Vegas Sphere Residency75%
- BillboardJohn Mayer to Headline 6 Nights at the Las Vegas Sphere: ‘Meet Me Where the Light Is’75%
- BillboardA Complete List of 2026-2027 Sphere Residencies in Las Vegas (Updating)17%▼58 points since the previous source
- BillboardLISA of BLACKPINK Adds New Dates to Las Vegas Residency In Response to ‘Overwhelming Demand’17%
- VarietyLCD Soundsystem Announces 2026 NYC Residency — Including 100th Residency Show24%▲7 points since the previous source
- ConsequenceLCD Soundsystem Announce 2026 NYC Residency24%
- The Hollywood ReporterDonnie Wahlberg Says NKOTB’s Final Las Vegas Shows Will Be “Super Emotional,” Teases New Elements and Shares What’s Next24%
- StereogumLCD Soundsystem Announce 100th NYC Residency Show, Al Doyle Announces Debut Solo Album Hollywood Saviour24%
- Rolling StoneWhere to Find Tickets to Metallica’s Sold-Out Sphere Shows24%
Show 19 later sources
- NMELCD Soundsystem announce 12-night New York City residency24%
- BillboardDonnie Wahlberg Predicts That Final NKOTB Las Vegas Shows Will Be ‘Super Emotional’ For Group, Hints at a Merry, Merry Surprise For Fans24%
- VarietyCarly Rae Jepsen Announces ‘Day and Night’ North American 2027 Tour Dates24%
- BillboardMetallica Sphere Setlist: Every Song From Night 1 of ‘Life Burns Faster’ Las Vegas Residency24%
- NMEWatch Metallica revive ‘…And Justice For All’ as they kick off mind-bending Las Vegas Sphere residency24%
- Rolling StoneMetallica’s ‘Master of Puppets’ Crosses Came to Life — Then Became Bigger Than Life — at the Sphere24%
- ConsequenceMetallica Launch Las Vegas Sphere Residency in Spectacular Fashion: Video + Setlist24%
- StereogumMetallica Kick Off Sphere Residency With “…And Justice For All” For The First Time In 12 Years24%
- RSS: NewsWatch Metallica Spawn a Monster for Their Sphere Residency Opener24%
- The Hollywood ReporterMetallica Thrashes Las Vegas With Five Decades of Monumental Metal24%
- ConsequenceMetallica Bring Completely Different Show to Night Two at Sphere: Photos, Video + Setlist24%
- Rolling StoneMetallica’s Life Burns Faster Sphere Residency May Be Bigger Than Metallica33%▲9 points since the previous source
- The Guardian CultureMetallica review – metal titans on fine form in spectacular rarities-focused show33%
- The Hollywood ReporterFive Takeaways from Metallica’s “No Repeat Weekend” Sphere Shows33%
- ConsequencePhish Announce New Year’s Eve Run, Including 100th Show at Madison Square Garden34%▲1 points since the previous source
- ConsequenceJohn Mayer Announces 2027 Las Vegas Sphere Residency34%
- ConsequenceTickets On Sale Today: Fontaines D.C., John Mayer at Sphere, Carly Rae Jepsen & More34%
- Rolling StoneWhere to Find the Best Ticket Deals to John Mayer Live at Sphere34%
- BillboardJohn Mayer Live at Sphere 2027: Here’s Where to Shop Affordable Tickets Online34%
- Current odds26%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Five Takeaways from Metallica’s “No Repeat Weekend” Sphere Shows The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Metallica review – metal titans on fine form in spectacular rarities-focused show The Guardian Culture ·
- Metallica Thrashes Las Vegas With Five Decades of Monumental Metal The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Carly Rae Jepsen Announces ‘Day and Night’ North American 2027 Tour Dates Variety ·
- Donnie Wahlberg Says NKOTB’s Final Las Vegas Shows Will Be “Super Emotional,” Teases New Elements and Shares What’s Next The Hollywood Reporter ·
- LCD Soundsystem Announces 2026 NYC Residency — Including 100th Residency Show Variety ·
Show 23 more sources
- John Mayer Live at Sphere 2027: Here’s Where to Shop Affordable Tickets Online Billboard
- Where to Find the Best Ticket Deals to John Mayer Live at Sphere Rolling Stone
- Tickets On Sale Today: Fontaines D.C., John Mayer at Sphere, Carly Rae Jepsen & More Consequence
- John Mayer Announces 2027 Las Vegas Sphere Residency Consequence
- Phish Announce New Year’s Eve Run, Including 100th Show at Madison Square Garden Consequence
- Metallica’s Life Burns Faster Sphere Residency May Be Bigger Than Metallica Rolling Stone
- Metallica Bring Completely Different Show to Night Two at Sphere: Photos, Video + Setlist Consequence
- Watch Metallica Spawn a Monster for Their Sphere Residency Opener RSS: News
- Metallica Kick Off Sphere Residency With “…And Justice For All” For The First Time In 12 Years Stereogum
- Metallica Launch Las Vegas Sphere Residency in Spectacular Fashion: Video + Setlist Consequence
- Metallica’s ‘Master of Puppets’ Crosses Came to Life — Then Became Bigger Than Life — at the Sphere Rolling Stone
- Watch Metallica revive ‘…And Justice For All’ as they kick off mind-bending Las Vegas Sphere residency NME
- Metallica Sphere Setlist: Every Song From Night 1 of ‘Life Burns Faster’ Las Vegas Residency Billboard
- Donnie Wahlberg Predicts That Final NKOTB Las Vegas Shows Will Be ‘Super Emotional’ For Group, Hints at a Merry, Merry Surprise For Fans Billboard
- LCD Soundsystem announce 12-night New York City residency NME
- Where to Find Tickets to Metallica’s Sold-Out Sphere Shows Rolling Stone
- LCD Soundsystem Announce 100th NYC Residency Show, Al Doyle Announces Debut Solo Album Hollywood Saviour Stereogum
- LCD Soundsystem Announce 2026 NYC Residency Consequence
- LISA of BLACKPINK Adds New Dates to Las Vegas Residency In Response to ‘Overwhelming Demand’ Billboard
- A Complete List of 2026-2027 Sphere Residencies in Las Vegas (Updating) Billboard
- John Mayer to Headline 6 Nights at the Las Vegas Sphere: ‘Meet Me Where the Light Is’ Billboard
- John Mayer Announces 2027 Las Vegas Sphere Residency Consequence
- John Mayer Will Return to the Sphere in 2027 Rolling Stone
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Coldplay 26% −6
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Metallica No 11d ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Las Vegas 12%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Metallica
- Sphere
- Las Vegas