John Malkovich Tapped for Santa Barbara Film Fest Performer of the Year Award
The actor will receive the honor during an evening of clips and conversation on Feb. 12.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 25 Sept, 04:42 UTC | 95% |
| 24 Sept, 17:42 UTC | 94% |
| 23 Sept, 17:12 UTC | 90% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 24 Sept 2026. The Hollywood Reporter published first, on 24 September at 17:36 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- John Malkovich — the market puts it at 95%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if John Malkovich is nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if he is not nominated. Readers often mistake other awards or nominations for this specific Oscar category.
- John Malkovich — the market puts it at 30%, with $978 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if John Malkovich wins Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for any award he might receive, but only a win in the Best Actor category counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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- Kalshi John Malkovich 95%
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- Kalshi John Malkovich 30% −5
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In this story
- John Malkovich
- Santa Barbara Film Fest