Jarvis Leads Alfred Dunhill Links Championship Into Final Round
Casey Jarvis holds a two-shot lead over defending champion Robert MacIntyre and Matt Fitzpatrick heading into the final round at St Andrews.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 83% |
| 4 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 83% |
| 4 Oct, 10:33 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 48% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 2 Oct 2026. BBC Sport published first, on 2 October at 18:27 UTC; SkySports followed 40h 05m later. The most recent article, from SkySports, appeared on 4 October at 16:31 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: BBC Sport, SkySports.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Matt Fitzpatrick — resolved “No” on 4 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Matt Fitzpatrick finishes in the top five players at the 2026 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, including ties. It resolves to No if he does not finish in that range. Readers often mistake the current leaderboard position for the final result, but only the official tournament standings count.
- Jeff Winther — resolved “No” on 4 Oct 2026.
- Jacob Skov Olesen — resolved “No” on 4 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Jacob Skov Olesen finishes in the top 10 of the 2026 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, including ties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about Jordan for the relevant event, but only Olesen's final standing matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Matt Fitzpatrick at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- BBC SportMacIntyre makes strong move at Alfred Dunhill Links—
- SkySportsJarvis seeks victory at St Andrews, Fitzpatrick among chasing pack LIVE!48%
- SkySportsMeronk outlasts Jarvis to win Alfred Dunhill Links Championship83%▲35 points since the previous source
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Matt Fitzpatrick No 34d ago
The market favoured No at 52% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Jeff Winther No 34d ago
The market favoured No at 93% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Jacob Skov Olesen No 34d ago
The market favoured Yes at 71% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Casey Jarvis
- Robert MacIntyre
- Matt Fitzpatrick
- Alfred Dunhill Links Championship
- St Andrews