Jacob Skov Olesen
The market favoured Yes at 71% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$216
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolved1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 16:05 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Oct, 11:23 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 71% |
| 2 Oct, 18:51 UTC | 26% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Jacob Skov Olesen finishes in the top 10 of the 2026 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, including ties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about Jordan for the relevant event, but only Olesen's final standing matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%