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Israel's Ben-Gvir Releases Video Threatening to Kill Hamas Figure in Jail

Israeli Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir has published a video threatening the life of senior Hamas figure Hassan Salameh while he is incarcerated.

2 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 28 Sept 2026 · updated 40d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
0%50%100%0%27 Sept, 02:08 UTCnowAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Palestinians denounce Israeli minister Ben-Gvir’s threats against prisoner · 28 Sept, 10:11 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Ben-Gvir releases video threatening to kill senior Hamas figure in jail · 28 Sept, 01:33 UTCTimes of India: Israel minister Ben-Gvir threatens to execute jailed Hamas figure · 28 Sept, 03:21 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
30 Sept, 08:35 UTC0%
29 Sept, 18:47 UTC1%
28 Sept, 02:08 UTC1%
27 Sept, 02:08 UTC1%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 28 Sept 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 28 September at 01:33 UTC; Times of India followed 1h 48m later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 28 September at 10:11 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Times of India.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — the market puts it at 0%, with $7k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 28 Oct 2026. The Yes outcome requires Itamar Ben Gvir to be formally sworn in as Prime Minister after an election. The No outcome applies if someone else takes that specific role or if no one is sworn in by the deadline. Readers often mistake any interim appointment for a final resolution, but only a sworn-in permanent Prime Minister counts.
  • Itamar Ben Gvir — the market puts it at 5%, closing 27 Oct 2027. The outcome is Yes if Itamar Ben Gvir becomes Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before October 27, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not become Prime Minister or fails to meet these requirements by that deadline.
  • Itamar Ben-Gvir — the market puts it at 2%, with $3 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2045. The outcome is Yes if Itamar Ben-Gvir becomes the next Prime Minister of Israel after this question is posted. The outcome is No if someone else holds that office first. Readers often mistake news reports or threats for actual appointment; only the official swearing-in counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraBen-Gvir releases video threatening to kill senior Hamas figure in jail1%
  2. Times of IndiaIsrael minister Ben-Gvir threatens to execute jailed Hamas figure1%
  3. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraPalestinians denounce Israeli minister Ben-Gvir’s threats against prisoner1%
  4. Current odds0%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Palestinians denounce Israeli minister Ben-Gvir’s threats against prisoner Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  2. Ben-Gvir releases video threatening to kill senior Hamas figure in jail Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  3. Israel minister Ben-Gvir threatens to execute jailed Hamas figure Times of India

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Polymarket Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? 0% $7k 24hends 28 Oct 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Itamar Ben Gvir 5% $0 24hends 27 Oct 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Itamar Ben-Gvir 2% $3 24hends 1 Jan 2045

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Itamar Ben-Gvir
  • Hassan Salameh
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