Itamar Ben Gvir
Implied probability 5%+4
24-hour volume$554
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves27 Oct 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 01:46 UTC | 1% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Itamar Ben Gvir becomes Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before October 27, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not become Prime Minister or fails to meet these requirements by that deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%