IMF Upgrades Growth Forecasts for UK, India and Japan Amid Global Resilience
The IMF raised growth predictions for the UK, India and France while warning that high inflation and energy costs threaten financial stability.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, 4h 26m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 4% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before 2027 respond.
The story so far
10 publishers have covered this in 14 articles since 13 Oct 2026. France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines published first, on 13 October at 03:57 UTC; Latest articles followed 4h 26m later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 17 October at 09:31 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, Latest articles, BBC Business, Fortune, Times of India, National Review.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 3%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the International Monetary Fund officially declares a global recession in its World Economic Outlook reports before 2027. It resolves to No if that specific declaration does not occur within the deadline. Readers often mistake general economic downturns or news headlines for an official IMF declaration.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before 2027 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesIMF upgrades 2026 growth forecast but warns of 'split' outlook3%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesIMF upgrades 2026 global growth forecast but war and debt threaten outlook3%
- Latest articlesIMF raises Japan’s growth forecast for 2026 to 0.7%3%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesIMF global economic forecast shows 'resilience under strain'3%
- News FeedThe world economy is running hotter than expected3%
- BBC BusinessThree things we've learnt about the UK economy from the IMF3%
- Bloomberg.comIMF Calls for Urgent Action to Fix Public Finances and Downgrades French Growth3%
- FortuneJust 32 countries are driving 95% of global growth as the IMF warns of an increasingly uneven economy3%
- Bloomberg TechnologyIMF Sees Asia’s Growth Slowing Despite AI-Fueled Resilience3%
- The Guardian USThe global economy is muddling through against the odds. But a storm is coming | Larry Elliott3%
Show 4 later sources
- Times of India‘Consistent with good practices’: IMF defends India's revised GDP calculation3%
- National ReviewThe IMF Is Asleep at the Wheel3%
- News FeedWhat is behind the surprising resilience of the UK economy?3%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraIMF urges support for poorer nations facing high inflation, war spillovers3%
- Current odds3%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- IMF urges support for poorer nations facing high inflation, war spillovers Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- What is behind the surprising resilience of the UK economy? News Feed ·
- The global economy is muddling through against the odds. But a storm is coming | Larry Elliott The Guardian US ·
- IMF Sees Asia’s Growth Slowing Despite AI-Fueled Resilience Bloomberg Technology ·
- IMF Calls for Urgent Action to Fix Public Finances and Downgrades French Growth Bloomberg.com ·
- The world economy is running hotter than expected News Feed ·
Show 8 more sources
- The IMF Is Asleep at the Wheel National Review
- ‘Consistent with good practices’: IMF defends India's revised GDP calculation Times of India
- Just 32 countries are driving 95% of global growth as the IMF warns of an increasingly uneven economy Fortune
- Three things we've learnt about the UK economy from the IMF BBC Business
- IMF global economic forecast shows 'resilience under strain' France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- IMF raises Japan’s growth forecast for 2026 to 0.7% Latest articles
- IMF upgrades 2026 growth forecast but warns of 'split' outlook France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- IMF upgrades 2026 global growth forecast but war and debt threaten outlook France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
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