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IDF Reserve Members Release Counter-Doc to Gaza Film 'NAZA'

A rebuttal documentary titled 'NAZA: The Real Story' has surfaced online, created by IDF reserve members in response to the original film.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 5 Oct 2026 · updated 33d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · NAZA
0%50%100%86%23 Sept, 16:03 UTCnowThe Hollywood Reporter: Gaza Documentary ‘NAZA’ Sparks IDF Counter Film to Rebut Venice Winner · 5 Oct, 16:54 UTCVariety: ‘NAZA’ Rebuttal Doc Surfaces Online, Made by IDF Reserve Members · 5 Oct, 11:01 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now86%
1 Oct, 06:29 UTC86%
29 Sept, 11:14 UTC85%
25 Sept, 20:25 UTC84%
23 Sept, 16:03 UTC83%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 5 Oct 2026. Variety published first, on 5 October at 11:01 UTC; The Hollywood Reporter followed 5h 53m later. The most recent article, from The Hollywood Reporter, appeared on 5 October at 16:54 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet).

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • NAZA — the market puts it at 86%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film NAZA is officially nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the theatrical release or streaming availability for a nomination.
  • NAZA — the market puts it at 30%, with $79 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The outcome is Yes if the film NAZA wins the Oscar for Best Documentary Feature at the 99th Academy Awards. The outcome is No if it does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake the streaming release on The Guardian for the resolution condition, but only the official Oscar result matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Gaza Documentary ‘NAZA’ Sparks IDF Counter Film to Rebut Venice Winner The Hollywood Reporter ·
  2. ‘NAZA’ Rebuttal Doc Surfaces Online, Made by IDF Reserve Members Variety ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi NAZA 86% $0 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi NAZA 30% +5 $79 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • IDF
  • Venice Film Festival
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