France host Belgium in UEFA Nations League clash for group top spot
France face Belgium in the fourth match of Group A1, with only one point separating the leaders from second-placed visitors.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by SI Feed, 5h 17m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 5 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 0% |
| 5 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 16% |
| 5 Oct, 17:51 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Oct, 22:30 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Oct, 08:04 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Oct, 22:09 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Oct, 07:15 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Oct, 06:17 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Oct, 04:52 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 21:03 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 19:19 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 11:04 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 07:13 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 06:15 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 00:44 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 23:06 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 21:16 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 02:36 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 01:44 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 01:23 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 22:38 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 20:49 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Sept, 19:33 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Sept, 17:57 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 15:32 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 13:58 UTC | 12% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 12% |
| 29 Sept, 12:48 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 12:26 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 11:14 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 10:23 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 09:09 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 08:55 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 07:17 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 06:31 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 22% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 7 articles since 5 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 5 October at 01:00 UTC; France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines followed 5h 18m later. The most recent article, from France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, appeared on 6 October at 06:28 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), The Guardian Sport (major outlet), SI Feed, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, CNET.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? — resolved “No” on 5 Oct 2026. The market resolves to "Yes" if Belgium wins the match scheduled for October 5, 2026, and to "No" otherwise. The result depends solely on the score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Readers often mistake the final whistle for the deadline, but the outcome is determined by the official statistics recognized by the governing body.
- Will Belgium win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? — the market puts it at 1%, with $769 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. The "Yes" outcome occurs if Belgium wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League title. The "No" outcome applies if Belgium loses in any stage or if the tournament ends without a winner declared by June 13, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the linked story about France and Italy for relevant data, but only the final winner of the Nations League matters.
- Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Belgium? — resolved “No” on 5 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time is exactly France 0 and Belgium 3. It resolves to No for any other result, including draws or different scores. Readers often mistake the inclusion of extra time or penalty shootouts as part of the final score, but these are explicitly excluded.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI FeedFrance vs. Belgium—Nations League: Preview, Predictions and Lineups16%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesNations League: France face Belgium as they battle for top spot in group A16%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraFrance vs Belgium: UEFA Nations League – Olise, De Bruyne, teams and format14%▼2 points since the previous source
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraLIVE: France vs Belgium – UEFA Nations League14%
- CNETWatch UEFA Nations League Soccer: Livestream France vs. Belgium From Anywhere14%
- The Guardian SportNations League roundup: Olise leads late charge as France bowl over Belgium16%▲1 points since the previous source
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesNations League: France defeat Belgium in second-half comeback0%▼15 points since the previous source
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Nations League roundup: Olise leads late charge as France bowl over Belgium The Guardian Sport ·
- LIVE: France vs Belgium – UEFA Nations League Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- France vs Belgium: UEFA Nations League – Olise, De Bruyne, teams and format Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Nations League: France defeat Belgium in second-half comeback France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Watch UEFA Nations League Soccer: Livestream France vs. Belgium From Anywhere CNET
- Nations League: France face Belgium as they battle for top spot in group A France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- France vs. Belgium—Nations League: Preview, Predictions and Lineups SI Feed
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? No 32d ago
The market favoured No at 85% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Belgium win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Belgium? No 32d ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
In this story
- France
- Belgium
- UEFA Nations League
- Zinedine Zidane