Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Belgium?
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$12k
Total volume$12k
Liquidity$22k
Resolved5 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 5 Oct, 23:02 UTC | 0% |
| 5 Oct, 17:51 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Oct, 09:01 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 1% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time is exactly France 0 and Belgium 3. It resolves to No for any other result, including draws or different scores. Readers often mistake the inclusion of extra time or penalty shootouts as part of the final score, but these are explicitly excluded.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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