Fossil Fuel Firms Secure $190bn in Tax Breaks After Trump Donation Call
A Senate report states the industry gained subsidies over ten years following campaign contributions, increasing taxpayer costs.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 25 Sept, 22:02 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Sept, 01:20 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Sept, 12:28 UTC | 1% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 24 Sept 2026. The Guardian Business published first, on 24 September at 12:30 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Yes — the market puts it at 0%, with $191 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if the top corporate federal tax rate drops below 21% before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about tax breaks for the actual reduction of the statutory tax rate.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Yes 0% −7
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- Sheldon Whitehouse
- Chuck Schumer