Yes
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$25
Total volume$63k
Liquidity$63k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 05:59 UTC | 2% |
| 9 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 18:54 UTC | 2% |
| 8 Oct, 12:01 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the top corporate federal tax rate drops below 21% before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about tax breaks for the actual reduction of the statutory tax rate.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%