Former Nvidia Advisor Claims $1 Billion Owed Due to 1993 Stock Error
Eric Gullichsen alleges a vesting error in a 1993 grant entitles him to roughly $1 billion, but Nvidia has rejected the settlement.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 01:08 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Sept, 15:48 UTC | 14% |
| 24 Sept, 16:24 UTC | 9% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 28 Sept 2026. Hacker News published first, on 28 September at 02:05 UTC; Latest from Tom's Hardware followed 31h 55m later. The most recent article, from Latest from Tom's Hardware, appeared on 29 September at 10:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Hacker News, Latest from Tom's Hardware.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Nvidia — the market puts it at 14%, with $19 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if any part of the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Nvidia before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about stock performance rather than government ownership.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Nvidia 14% +1
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In this story
- Nvidia
- Eric Gullichsen