England beat Greece 3-1 in Women's World Cup playoff first leg
Goals from Stanway, Le Tissier and Russo secure a 3-1 victory despite a Greek response.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 13 Oct, 14:49 UTC | 99% |
| 13 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 96% |
| 12 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 99% |
| 12 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 98% |
| 12 Oct, 15:47 UTC | 80% |
| 11 Oct, 19:33 UTC | 97% |
| 11 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 80% |
| 11 Oct, 06:49 UTC | 95% |
| 11 Oct, 00:45 UTC | 94% |
| 10 Oct, 16:41 UTC | 92% |
| 10 Oct, 07:17 UTC | 97% |
| 10 Oct, 04:40 UTC | 98% |
| 9 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 96% |
| 9 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 98% |
| 9 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 96% |
| 8 Oct, 15:37 UTC | 95% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch England advances respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 9 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 9 October at 18:46 UTC; BBC Sport followed 2h 29m later. The most recent article, from BBC Sport, appeared on 9 October at 21:15 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), BBC Sport.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- England advances — resolved “Yes” on 13 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if England advances past Greece in their FIFA World Cup Qualifiers tie. It resolves to No if they do not advance. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the first leg, but the outcome depends on the aggregate result of both legs.
- Will Greece win on 2026-10-13? — resolved “No” on 13 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Greece wins the match scheduled for October 13, 2026, based on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. It resolves to No if the game is canceled without a make-up match or if Greece does not win. Readers often mistake the final aggregate score or extra time results as the deciding factor, but only the outcome at the end of regular time counts.
- Reg Time: Tie — resolved “No” on 13 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the England versus Greece match ends in a tie after 90 minutes of regular play, including stoppage time. It resolves to No if either team wins or if the game does not take place as scheduled. Readers often mistake the final result after extra time or penalties for the official outcome.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on England advances at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved England advances Yes 25d ago
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Greece win on 2026-10-13? No 24d ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Reg Time: Tie No 25d ago
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?