Will Greece win on 2026-10-13?
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$36k
Resolved13 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 22:38 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 16:26 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 15:10 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 14:49 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 13:50 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 12:22 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 11:20 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 10:58 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 10:15 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 07:42 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 07:21 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 06:28 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 04:48 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 18:09 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 10:53 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 08:27 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 07:53 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 06:32 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 05:37 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 00:15 UTC | 2% |
| 11 Oct, 22:08 UTC | 2% |
| 11 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 2% |
| 11 Oct, 12:39 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 00:05 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 21:51 UTC | 2% |
| 9 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 2% |
| 8 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 2% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Greece wins the match scheduled for October 13, 2026, based on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. It resolves to No if the game is canceled without a make-up match or if Greece does not win. Readers often mistake the final aggregate score or extra time results as the deciding factor, but only the outcome at the end of regular time counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →