England advances
Implied probability 92%−4
24-hour volume$75
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves15 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 92% |
| 10 Oct, 16:41 UTC | 92% |
| 10 Oct, 07:17 UTC | 97% |
| 10 Oct, 04:40 UTC | 98% |
| 9 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 96% |
| 9 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 98% |
| 9 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 96% |
| 8 Oct, 15:37 UTC | 95% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if England advances past Greece in their FIFA World Cup Qualifiers tie. It resolves to No if they do not advance. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the first leg, but the outcome depends on the aggregate result of both legs.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 92%
- No 8%