Documentary 'You Can See Everything' Could Disrupt Oscars
The documentary is seen as an unprecedented cinematic wild card that may make history at the awards ceremony.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 77% |
| 22 Oct, 21:02 UTC | 77% |
| 22 Oct, 19:03 UTC | 75% |
| 22 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 76% |
| 22 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 75% |
| 22 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 77% |
| 22 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 78% |
| 22 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 78% |
| 22 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 77% |
| 22 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 78% |
| 21 Oct, 22:31 UTC | 77% |
| 21 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Oct, 19:54 UTC | 79% |
| 21 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 77% |
| 21 Oct, 16:36 UTC | 76% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 75% |
| 21 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Oct, 01:38 UTC | 73% |
| 21 Oct, 01:10 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Oct, 00:05 UTC | 73% |
| 20 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 73% |
| 20 Oct, 22:59 UTC | 78% |
| 20 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 79% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 78% |
| 20 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 76% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 78% |
| 20 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 75% |
| 20 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 73% |
| 19 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 77% |
| 19 Oct, 00:37 UTC | 76% |
| 18 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 77% |
| 18 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 80% |
| 18 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 78% |
| 18 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 77% |
| 18 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 78% |
| 18 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 76% |
| 18 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 79% |
| 18 Oct, 10:45 UTC | 77% |
| 18 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 78% |
| 18 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 77% |
| 18 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 75% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 73% |
| 18 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 68% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 61% |
| 13 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 52% |
| 13 Oct, 16:11 UTC | 51% |
| 9 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 48% |
| 9 Oct, 13:28 UTC | 49% |
| 8 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 48% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 19 Oct 2026. Consequence published first, on 19 October at 20:07 UTC; Variety followed 25h 22m later. The most recent article, from Variety, appeared on 20 October at 21:30 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), Consequence.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- You Can See Everything — the market puts it at 77%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film You Can See Everything receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if it does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake general festival screenings or boycott news for an official Oscar nomination.
- You Can See Everything — the market puts it at 26%, with $50k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film *You Can See Everything* wins the Best Picture award at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if it does not win that specific category. Readers often mistake the linked news story about potential disruption for the actual resolution criteria.
- You Can See Everything — the market puts it at 80%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if "You Can See Everything" is officially nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if the film does not receive such a nomination. Readers often mistake the linked story about festival honors as a nomination, but only an official Academy nomination counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi You Can See Everything 77% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi You Can See Everything 26% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi You Can See Everything 80% −3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- You Can See Everything
- Oscars