Dancing With the Stars Celebrates Mariah Carey With Themed Show
The show featured twelve couples performing to hits like 'Fantasy' and 'Obsessed' while Carey sent a video message.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 89% |
| 27 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 89% |
| 26 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 92% |
| 25 Oct, 18:32 UTC | 87% |
| 24 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 93% |
| 23 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 92% |
| 21 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 90% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 94% |
| 18 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 89% |
| 15 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 03:10 UTC | 93% |
| 12 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 89% |
| 9 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 91% |
| 9 Oct, 01:36 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 94% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Mariah Carey respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 7 Oct 2026. Rolling Stone published first, on 7 October at 07:36 UTC; Billboard followed 8h 40m later. The most recent article, from Billboard, appeared on 7 October at 20:10 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Rolling Stone, Billboard.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Mariah Carey — the market puts it at 89%, with $16 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 21 Dec 2026. Mariah Carey must have a song reach number one on the Billboard Hot 100 by the chart dated for the week of December 26, 2026. The outcome is Yes if this milestone occurs within that timeframe and No otherwise. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
- Mariah Carey — the market puts it at 61%, with $210 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Mariah Carey releases a new song in 2026. It resolves to No if she does not release a new song during that year. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Dancing With the Stars as the deciding factor, but only her music release matters.
- Mariah Carey — resolved “No” on 27 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if Mariah Carey is officially announced as the headliner for the Super Bowl halftime show before February 15, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake any other performance or media appearance for a valid announcement.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Mariah Carey at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Rolling StoneWatch ‘Dancing With the Stars’ Celebrate Mariah Carey With Themed Show94%
- BillboardMariah Carey Sends Sweet Video Message to ‘DWTS’ Contestants on MC Night: ‘What An Honor’94%
- BillboardFans Can’t Get Enough of Guillermo Rodriguez & Witney Carson’s Samba to Mariah Carey’s ‘Obsessed’ on ‘Dancing With the Stars’94%
- Current odds89%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Fans Can’t Get Enough of Guillermo Rodriguez & Witney Carson’s Samba to Mariah Carey’s ‘Obsessed’ on ‘Dancing With the Stars’ Billboard
- Mariah Carey Sends Sweet Video Message to ‘DWTS’ Contestants on MC Night: ‘What An Honor’ Billboard
- Watch ‘Dancing With the Stars’ Celebrate Mariah Carey With Themed Show Rolling Stone
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Mariah Carey 89% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Mariah Carey 61% +8
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Mariah Carey No 11d ago
The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Mariah Carey
- Dancing With the Stars