Tom Cruise’s Digger Flops at Box Office as Verity Takes Top Spot
Alejandro G. Iñárritu's satire earned $8 million in its opening weekend, while Anne Hathaway's film topped the charts.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 25% |
| 9 Oct, 12:02 UTC | 25% |
| 3 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 42% |
| 2 Oct, 17:11 UTC | 29% |
| 1 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 39% |
| 1 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Sept, 01:08 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Sept, 16:07 UTC | 36% |
| 28 Sept, 15:41 UTC | 14% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Digger respond.
The story so far
20 publishers have covered this in 69 articles since 29 Sept 2026. The Hollywood Reporter published first, on 29 September at 16:00 UTC. The most recent article, from Variety, appeared on 9 October at 14:19 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Variety (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), The Guardian Culture (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), WIRED (major outlet), Ars Technica (major outlet), Deadline, Rolling Stone, IndieWire, The A.V. Club, Consequence and 8 more, all listed under Sources below.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Digger — the market puts it at 25%, closing 8 Dec 2027. The outcome is Yes if the film 'Digger' appears on the official nominee list for Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake critical acclaim or news coverage for a nomination, but only an official listing from the Golden Globes counts.
- Digger — the market puts it at 27%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film Digger receives a nomination for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the premiere or critical reception for the resolution criteria, but only an official Oscar nomination counts.
- Digger — the market puts it at 23%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film Digger receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the premiere date or critical reception for the resolution criteria, but only an official Oscar nomination counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Digger at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The Hollywood Reporter‘Digger’ Review: Tom Cruise and Alejandro G. Iñárritu Are a Match Made in Showboating Hell in a Shallow Satire Insufferably Pleased With Itself14%
- Deadline‘Digger’ Review: Tom Cruise Explodes In Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Surprising And Urgent Disaster Movie Satire14%
- Rolling StoneIt’s the End of the World as We Know It, and Tom Cruise Feels Weird14%
- IndieWire‘Digger’ Review: Tom Cruise and Alejandro González Iñárritu Almost Hit Rock Bottom in Surreal Misfire About Our Collective Self-Delusion14%
- Variety‘Digger’ Review: As a Texas Oil Tycoon, Tom Cruise Goes Over the Top in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Bombastically Self-Important Satire14%
- The A.V. ClubSubstance once again gets short shrift in Alejandro Iñárritu's stylish mess Digger14%
- ConsequenceDigger Review: Tom Cruise’s Boldest, Most Political Movie Ever14%
- Features – IndieWireEarly Oscar Buzz for ‘Digger’ Was All About Tom Cruise — but Its Best Chances May Lie Elsewhere36%▲22 points since the previous source
- The Hollywood ReporterTom Cruise ‘Digger’ Reviews Are Brutally Split: From “Insufferable” to “Terrific”36%
- Variety‘Digger’ Confronts Negative Buzz: New Ad Tells Moviegoers to ‘Decide for Yourself’ After Tom Cruise Movie Called ‘Unpleasant’ and ‘Baffling’36%
Show 59 later sources
- VarietyTom Cruise Pulls Out ‘Risky Business’ Dance Moves for ‘Jennifer Hudson Show’ Spirit Tunnel48%▲12 points since the previous source
- The Hollywood ReporterWith ‘Digger,’ Tom Cruise Takes On His Riskiest Business Yet48%
- NMETom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ is getting crushed by critics: “a massive swing-and-a-miss”48%
- News FeedTom Cruise hurtles towards disaster with wild overconfidence in Digger48%
- Features – IndieWire‘Digger’ Director Alejandro G. Iñárritu and Riz Ahmed on How the Year’s Riskiest Movie Captures Our Demented Reality: ‘We Are Living in a Satire’48%
- BillboardWatch Tom Cruise Dust off His ‘Risky Business’ Dance Moves for the ‘Jennifer Hudson Show’ Spirit Tunnel48%
- The A.V. ClubNew Digger ad urges viewers to "decide for yourself" whether it's a ponderous, overinflated mess48%
- VarietyWill Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ Continue Warner Bros.’ Dismal Box Office Year?48%
- The Hollywood Reporter‘Digger’ Ad Fires Back at Critics With Tom Cruise Character Declaring “F**k Those People”48%
- NME‘Digger’ review: Tom Cruise’s search for an Oscar continues48%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTom Cruise's 'Digger' divides critics as Zurich Film Festival stars steal the spotlight48%
- The Hollywood ReporterTom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ Was Originally Titled ‘Blah, Blah, Blah,’ Iñárritu Reveals48%
- Features – IndieWireDear ‘Digger’ Detractors: This Tom Cruise Masterpiece Will Stand the Test of Time48%
- The Hollywood ReporterWhy Is Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ Facing Such a Bumpy Box Office Road?48%
- National ReviewDigger Is Tom Cruise’s Climate Hoax39%▼9 points since the previous source
- The Hollywood ReporterGuillermo del Toro Defends Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger,’ Rips “Petty” Headline39%
- All Content from Business InsiderAll 46 Tom Cruise movies, ranked from worst to best39%
- Scientific AmericanCould a giant iceberg really break off Greenland? Scientists check Tom Cruise’s new movie Digger29%▼10 points since the previous source
- Variety‘Digger’: How Its Big Twist Saves the Movie From Being a Complete Disaster (Opinion)29%
- The A.V. ClubSpoiler Space: Digger isn't a musical, but something far more cynical29%
- The Hollywood ReporterTom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ Plunging at Box Office With Less Than $10M as ‘Verity’ Leads29%
- DeadlineGuillermo Del Toro Buries ‘Digger’ In Praise, Slams “Petty” Review: “Decidedly A Theatrical Experience”29%
- The A.V. ClubGuillermo del Toro is not digging some reviews for Digger42%▲13 points since the previous source
- The Hollywood ReporterTom Cruise Stands Up for ‘Digger’ Amid Tough Box Office: “I’m So Proud of What We Created”42%
- VarietyGuillermo Del Toro Defends ‘Digger,’ Calls the Film ‘Daring, Bold and Cinematically Complex’42%
- Deadline‘Digger’ Star Tom Cruise Says He’s “So Proud Of What We Created” Despite Soft Open At Theaters42%
- The Hollywood ReporterTom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ Tries New Marketing Tactic: The French Love It, Americans Don’t42%
- IndieWire‘Digger’ Flops With $8 Million Opening, Becoming the Biggest Bomb of Tom Cruise’s Career42%
- VarietyBox Office: ‘Digger’ Majorly Bombs With $8 Million Opening Weekend, ‘Verity’ Scores $32 Million Debut42%
- The Hollywood ReporterTom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ Buried at Box Office With $8M as ‘Verity’ Wins Weekend42%
- ConsequenceDigger Earns Just $8 Million, Giving Tom Cruise One of His Worst Openings Ever42%
- FortuneTom Cruise suffers one of the worst movie debuts of his career. Reviews were so bad Warner Bros. ran ‘decide for yourself’ ads42%
- DeadlineTom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ To Lose Around $150M: Deconstructing The Disaster42%
- France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo'Digger': el apocalipsis, según Tom Cruise y Alejandro González Iñárritu42%
- The Guardian CultureTom Cruise’s Digger has flopped spectacularly – but I think it is a misunderstood masterpiece42%
- NMETom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ is on course to become one of the biggest flops ever42%
- The New York TimesAlejandro G. Iñárritu Knows That ‘Digger’ Is Polarizing. That’s the Point.42%
- The A.V. ClubDigger is in a major box office hole42%
- Variety‘Digger’ Down: 5 Takeaways After Tom Cruise Suffers One of His Biggest Box Office Bombs42%
- The A.V. ClubAlejandro G. Iñàrritu expected and prefers Digger's negative reception42%
- IndieWireAfter the ‘Digger’ Disaster, What Should Tom Cruise Do Next?42%
- The Hollywood ReporterAs ‘Digger’ Sinks, Hollywood’s Three Amigos Circle the Wagons42%
- The Hollywood ReporterWhy Did Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ Hit Rock Bottom at the Box Office?42%
- The A.V. ClubTom Cruise forgot how to be a movie star42%
- VarietyTom Cruise Said He Doesn’t Make Movies for ‘Opening Weekend’ Right Before ‘Digger’ Bombed: ‘You Hope to Make a Film That Can Last’42%
- The New York Times‘Digger,’ Warner Bros.’ Last Release Before Merger, Is a Major Flop42%
- WIRED‘Digger’ is a Box Office Flop. It Might Be the Most Relevant Film of the Year42%
- Ars TechnicaReview: Fine, let's talk about Digger42%
- VarietyMelania Trump’s Advisor Shades Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ After Box Office Bomb — Even Though ‘Melania’ Doc Also Flopped in Theaters42%
- All Content from Business InsiderMichael Stuhlbarg had no idea what 'Digger' was about when he filmed the movie42%
- ConsequenceDigger May Be One of the Biggest Box Office Bombs of All Time: Report42%
- NME‘The Odyssey’ is returning to IMAX cinemas after ‘Digger’ flop42%
- New ScientistClimate satire Digger – with Tom Cruise on top form – is full of surprises42%
- DeadlineAnne Hathaway Calls Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ “Brilliant”: “It’s Worth Making The Time See & Decide For Yourself”42%
- The A.V. ClubAt least Tom Cruise’s upcoming co-star liked Digger42%
- The Hollywood ReporterAnne Hathaway Gives Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ a Perfect Score: “Brilliant Movie”42%
- Deadline‘Digger’ Delights ‘Homeland’ Star Mandy Patinkin: “One Of The Greatest Films I Have Ever Seen”42%
- NMEAnne Hathaway defends Tom Cruise’s “brilliant” ‘Digger’ from scathing reviews42%
- VarietyHollywood Defends ‘Digger’: Anne Hathaway and More Praise Tom Cruise’s Flop as Guillermo del Toro Says ‘Love the Arts. F— the Charts’25%▼17 points since the previous source
- Current odds25%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Hollywood Defends ‘Digger’: Anne Hathaway and More Praise Tom Cruise’s Flop as Guillermo del Toro Says ‘Love the Arts. F— the Charts’ Variety ·
- Anne Hathaway Gives Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ a Perfect Score: “Brilliant Movie” The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Melania Trump’s Advisor Shades Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ After Box Office Bomb — Even Though ‘Melania’ Doc Also Flopped in Theaters Variety ·
- Review: Fine, let's talk about Digger Ars Technica ·
- ‘Digger’ is a Box Office Flop. It Might Be the Most Relevant Film of the Year WIRED ·
- ‘Digger,’ Warner Bros.’ Last Release Before Merger, Is a Major Flop The New York Times ·
Show 63 more sources
- Tom Cruise Said He Doesn’t Make Movies for ‘Opening Weekend’ Right Before ‘Digger’ Bombed: ‘You Hope to Make a Film That Can Last’ Variety ·
- Why Did Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ Hit Rock Bottom at the Box Office? The Hollywood Reporter ·
- As ‘Digger’ Sinks, Hollywood’s Three Amigos Circle the Wagons The Hollywood Reporter ·
- ‘Digger’ Down: 5 Takeaways After Tom Cruise Suffers One of His Biggest Box Office Bombs Variety ·
- Alejandro G. Iñárritu Knows That ‘Digger’ Is Polarizing. That’s the Point. The New York Times ·
- Tom Cruise’s Digger has flopped spectacularly – but I think it is a misunderstood masterpiece The Guardian Culture ·
- Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ Buried at Box Office With $8M as ‘Verity’ Wins Weekend The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Box Office: ‘Digger’ Majorly Bombs With $8 Million Opening Weekend, ‘Verity’ Scores $32 Million Debut Variety ·
- Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ Tries New Marketing Tactic: The French Love It, Americans Don’t The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Guillermo Del Toro Defends ‘Digger,’ Calls the Film ‘Daring, Bold and Cinematically Complex’ Variety ·
- Tom Cruise Stands Up for ‘Digger’ Amid Tough Box Office: “I’m So Proud of What We Created” The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ Plunging at Box Office With Less Than $10M as ‘Verity’ Leads The Hollywood Reporter ·
- ‘Digger’: How Its Big Twist Saves the Movie From Being a Complete Disaster (Opinion) Variety ·
- Guillermo del Toro Defends Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger,’ Rips “Petty” Headline The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Why Is Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ Facing Such a Bumpy Box Office Road? The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ Was Originally Titled ‘Blah, Blah, Blah,’ Iñárritu Reveals The Hollywood Reporter ·
- ‘Digger’ Ad Fires Back at Critics With Tom Cruise Character Declaring “F**k Those People” The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Will Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ Continue Warner Bros.’ Dismal Box Office Year? Variety ·
- Tom Cruise hurtles towards disaster with wild overconfidence in Digger News Feed ·
- With ‘Digger,’ Tom Cruise Takes On His Riskiest Business Yet The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Tom Cruise Pulls Out ‘Risky Business’ Dance Moves for ‘Jennifer Hudson Show’ Spirit Tunnel Variety ·
- ‘Digger’ Confronts Negative Buzz: New Ad Tells Moviegoers to ‘Decide for Yourself’ After Tom Cruise Movie Called ‘Unpleasant’ and ‘Baffling’ Variety ·
- Tom Cruise ‘Digger’ Reviews Are Brutally Split: From “Insufferable” to “Terrific” The Hollywood Reporter ·
- ‘Digger’ Review: As a Texas Oil Tycoon, Tom Cruise Goes Over the Top in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Bombastically Self-Important Satire Variety ·
- ‘Digger’ Review: Tom Cruise and Alejandro G. Iñárritu Are a Match Made in Showboating Hell in a Shallow Satire Insufferably Pleased With Itself The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Anne Hathaway defends Tom Cruise’s “brilliant” ‘Digger’ from scathing reviews NME
- ‘Digger’ Delights ‘Homeland’ Star Mandy Patinkin: “One Of The Greatest Films I Have Ever Seen” Deadline
- At least Tom Cruise’s upcoming co-star liked Digger The A.V. Club
- Anne Hathaway Calls Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ “Brilliant”: “It’s Worth Making The Time See & Decide For Yourself” Deadline
- Climate satire Digger – with Tom Cruise on top form – is full of surprises New Scientist
- ‘The Odyssey’ is returning to IMAX cinemas after ‘Digger’ flop NME
- Digger May Be One of the Biggest Box Office Bombs of All Time: Report Consequence
- Michael Stuhlbarg had no idea what 'Digger' was about when he filmed the movie All Content from Business Insider
- Tom Cruise forgot how to be a movie star The A.V. Club
- After the ‘Digger’ Disaster, What Should Tom Cruise Do Next? IndieWire
- Alejandro G. Iñàrritu expected and prefers Digger's negative reception The A.V. Club
- Digger is in a major box office hole The A.V. Club
- Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ is on course to become one of the biggest flops ever NME
- 'Digger': el apocalipsis, según Tom Cruise y Alejandro González Iñárritu France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo
- Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ To Lose Around $150M: Deconstructing The Disaster Deadline
- Tom Cruise suffers one of the worst movie debuts of his career. Reviews were so bad Warner Bros. ran ‘decide for yourself’ ads Fortune
- Digger Earns Just $8 Million, Giving Tom Cruise One of His Worst Openings Ever Consequence
- ‘Digger’ Flops With $8 Million Opening, Becoming the Biggest Bomb of Tom Cruise’s Career IndieWire
- ‘Digger’ Star Tom Cruise Says He’s “So Proud Of What We Created” Despite Soft Open At Theaters Deadline
- Guillermo del Toro is not digging some reviews for Digger The A.V. Club
- Guillermo Del Toro Buries ‘Digger’ In Praise, Slams “Petty” Review: “Decidedly A Theatrical Experience” Deadline
- Spoiler Space: Digger isn't a musical, but something far more cynical The A.V. Club
- Could a giant iceberg really break off Greenland? Scientists check Tom Cruise’s new movie Digger Scientific American
- All 46 Tom Cruise movies, ranked from worst to best All Content from Business Insider
- Digger Is Tom Cruise’s Climate Hoax National Review
- Dear ‘Digger’ Detractors: This Tom Cruise Masterpiece Will Stand the Test of Time Features – IndieWire
- Tom Cruise's 'Digger' divides critics as Zurich Film Festival stars steal the spotlight France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- ‘Digger’ review: Tom Cruise’s search for an Oscar continues NME
- New Digger ad urges viewers to "decide for yourself" whether it's a ponderous, overinflated mess The A.V. Club
- Watch Tom Cruise Dust off His ‘Risky Business’ Dance Moves for the ‘Jennifer Hudson Show’ Spirit Tunnel Billboard
- ‘Digger’ Director Alejandro G. Iñárritu and Riz Ahmed on How the Year’s Riskiest Movie Captures Our Demented Reality: ‘We Are Living in a Satire’ Features – IndieWire
- Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ is getting crushed by critics: “a massive swing-and-a-miss” NME
- Early Oscar Buzz for ‘Digger’ Was All About Tom Cruise — but Its Best Chances May Lie Elsewhere Features – IndieWire
- Digger Review: Tom Cruise’s Boldest, Most Political Movie Ever Consequence
- Substance once again gets short shrift in Alejandro Iñárritu's stylish mess Digger The A.V. Club
- ‘Digger’ Review: Tom Cruise Explodes In Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Surprising And Urgent Disaster Movie Satire Deadline
- It’s the End of the World as We Know It, and Tom Cruise Feels Weird Rolling Stone
- ‘Digger’ Review: Tom Cruise and Alejandro González Iñárritu Almost Hit Rock Bottom in Surreal Misfire About Our Collective Self-Delusion IndieWire
Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Digger 27%
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- Kalshi Digger 23% −1
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In this story
- Tom Cruise
- Alejandro G. Iñárritu
- Digger
- Warner Bros.
- Verity