Costco Profit Surges on Tariff Refunds
The retailer's fourth-quarter net income rose 15% to $3 billion, aided by $184 million in IEEPA tariff refunds.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 02:06 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 00:52 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 22:12 UTC | 58% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 24 Sept 2026. MarketWatch published first, on 24 September at 20:54 UTC; Quartz followed 14h 17m later. The most recent article, from Quartz, appeared on 25 September at 11:10 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: MarketWatch, Quartz.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Dividend — resolved “No” on 25 Sept 2026. The outcome is Yes if a Costco representative mentions a dividend during the upcoming earnings call or its question-and-answer session. The outcome is No if no such mention occurs within that specific event. Readers often mistake any general discussion of profits for an actual dividend announcement.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Dividend No 42d ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Costco