Jordan Firstman’s Debut Film 'Club Kid' Submitted as Drama for Golden Globes
The filmmaker submits his party-promoter comedy-drama in the drama category, defying expectations that it would compete in musical or comedy fields.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 58% |
| 6 Nov, 18:56 UTC | 58% |
| 6 Nov, 05:03 UTC | 57% |
| 6 Nov, 04:13 UTC | 55% |
| 5 Nov, 12:59 UTC | 56% |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | 50% |
| 4 Nov, 19:35 UTC | 55% |
| 4 Nov, 18:04 UTC | 54% |
| 3 Nov, 17:06 UTC | 56% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Club Kid respond.
The story so far
6 publishers have covered this in 10 articles since 2 Nov 2026. The Hollywood Reporter published first, on 2 November at 17:40 UTC; IndieWire followed 24h 50m later. The most recent article, from Movies | Hollywood Reporter, appeared on 6 November at 17:33 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Movies | Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Variety (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), IndieWire, The A.V. Club, Rolling Stone.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Club Kid — the market puts it at 58%, with $31 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The outcome is Yes if Club Kid receives a nomination for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards. The outcome is No if it does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake Golden Globes consideration as sufficient, but only an Oscar nomination counts.
- Club Kid — the market puts it at 6%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The outcome is Yes if the film Club Kid wins Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards. The outcome is No if it does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake the Golden Globes nomination for the deciding factor, but only the Academy Award result matters.
- Club Kid — the market puts it at 36%, with $603 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Club Kid receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if it does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake the Golden Globes submission for the final Academy Award nomination.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Club Kid at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The Hollywood ReporterGolden Globes: ‘Club Kid’ Submitted as Drama (Exclusive)—
- IndieWireJordan Firstman Opens Up with ‘Club Kid,’ His Hilarious, Tender, and Must-See Feature Filmmaking Debut56%
- VarietyBig Daddy: How Jordan Firstman Turned ‘Club Kid’ Into a Glorious, Gay, Oscar-Worthy Crowdpleaser56%
- IndieWire‘Club Kid’ Review: Jordan Firstman’s Brazen, Funny, and Surprisingly Earnest Directing Debut Is a Wild Party Movie with Heart56%
- The New York Times‘Club Kid’ Review: When the Lights Come Up50%▼6 points since the previous source
- The A.V. ClubA Club Kid charmingly sobers up for parenthood in Jordan Firstman's familiar debut56%▲6 points since the previous source
- Rolling StoneJordan Firstman Knows When It’s Time to Leave the Party56%
- The New York TimesJordan Firstman, of ‘Club Kid,’ Knows How to Party57%▲1 points since the previous source
- The Hollywood Reporter“The Biggest Role of My Life — So Far”: Breakout Star Reggie Absolom on Putting the ‘Kid’ in ‘Club Kid’57%
- Movies | Hollywood ReporterJordan Firstman (Sort Of) Grows Up With Debut Feature Film ‘Club Kid’57%
- Current odds58%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Jordan Firstman (Sort Of) Grows Up With Debut Feature Film ‘Club Kid’ Movies | Hollywood Reporter ·
- “The Biggest Role of My Life — So Far”: Breakout Star Reggie Absolom on Putting the ‘Kid’ in ‘Club Kid’ The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Jordan Firstman, of ‘Club Kid,’ Knows How to Party The New York Times ·
- ‘Club Kid’ Review: When the Lights Come Up The New York Times ·
- Big Daddy: How Jordan Firstman Turned ‘Club Kid’ Into a Glorious, Gay, Oscar-Worthy Crowdpleaser Variety ·
- Golden Globes: ‘Club Kid’ Submitted as Drama (Exclusive) The Hollywood Reporter ·
Show 4 more sources
- Jordan Firstman Knows When It’s Time to Leave the Party Rolling Stone
- A Club Kid charmingly sobers up for parenthood in Jordan Firstman's familiar debut The A.V. Club
- ‘Club Kid’ Review: Jordan Firstman’s Brazen, Funny, and Surprisingly Earnest Directing Debut Is a Wild Party Movie with Heart IndieWire
- Jordan Firstman Opens Up with ‘Club Kid,’ His Hilarious, Tender, and Must-See Feature Filmmaking Debut IndieWire
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Club Kid 58% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Club Kid 6%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Club Kid 36% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Jordan Firstman
- Reggie Absolom
- Club Kid