Skydance Shares Plunge as Warner Bros. Merger Faces Investor Skepticism

Skydance Corp shares fell sharply and bonds weakened as investors question the profitability of its $110 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery.

28 publishers · 227 articles · first seen 29 Sept 2026 · updated 21d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by Variety, 4 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Paramount

Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 225 more published before price tracking began

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	1%
20 Oct, 21:34 UTC	1%
20 Oct, 21:27 UTC	18%
20 Oct, 20:58 UTC	22%
20 Oct, 20:24 UTC	28%
20 Oct, 19:55 UTC	35%
20 Oct, 19:07 UTC	27%
20 Oct, 18:45 UTC	32%
20 Oct, 17:53 UTC	35%
20 Oct, 14:33 UTC	32%
20 Oct, 12:32 UTC	33%
20 Oct, 09:04 UTC	28%
20 Oct, 06:13 UTC	32%
20 Oct, 05:47 UTC	34%
17 Oct, 23:10 UTC	33%
17 Oct, 19:04 UTC	34%
17 Oct, 14:11 UTC	35%
16 Oct, 13:24 UTC	29%

The story so far

28 publishers have covered this in 227 articles since 29 Sept 2026. Variety published first, on 29 September at 22:45 UTC; Deadline followed 5 min later. The most recent article, from France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, appeared on 17 October at 13:43 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), CNBC (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), The Verge (major outlet), Washington Post Business (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), TechCrunch (major outlet), The Guardian Business (major outlet), Axios (major outlet), Ars Technica (major outlet) and 16 more, all listed under Sources below.

3 prediction markets price this story:

Paramount — resolved “No” on 21 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a Netflix representative mentions Paramount during an upcoming live earnings call or official broadcast, including the question-and-answer session. The outcome is determined solely by what is said on that specific call, not by external reports or other media coverage.
UFC — the market puts it at 87%, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Mar 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a Paramount representative mentions UFC during the upcoming earnings call or its question-and-answer session. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming any news report counts instead of only statements made by Paramount representatives on that specific call.
Paramount / PSKY — resolved “Yes” on 27 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump explicitly states that Paramount or PSKY has merged with Warner Bros. to form Skydance Media between October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and November 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET. The outcome is No if he does not make this specific statement within that exact timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of the merger itself rather than the window for Trump's verbal confirmation.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Paramount at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

Show 221 more sources

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

Resolved Paramount No 17d ago
The market favoured No at 67% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Wrong market?

What's wrong
Kalshi UFC 87% +2 $1 24hends 31 Mar 2027
Does the market have this right?

Wrong market?

What's wrong
Resolved Paramount / PSKY Yes 11d ago
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Wrong market?

What's wrong

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

In this story

Skydance Corp.
Warner Bros. Discovery
Paramount
David Ellison
Ynon Kreiz

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