Paramount / PSKY
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$94
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump explicitly states that Paramount or PSKY has merged with Warner Bros. to form Skydance Media between October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and November 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET. The outcome is No if he does not make this specific statement within that exact timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of the merger itself rather than the window for Trump's verbal confirmation.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%