Bill Maher Fact-Checks Kid Rock for Comparing Abdul El-Sayed to 9/11 Hijackers
The Real Time host corrected a guest's comparison of Michigan candidate Abdul El-Sayed to the 9/11 hijackers during Friday's broadcast.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Variety, 7 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 75% |
| 2 Nov, 14:49 UTC | 75% |
| 30 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 62% |
| 26 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 77% |
| 26 Oct, 12:47 UTC | 76% |
| 25 Oct, 18:11 UTC | 68% |
| 25 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 68% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 80% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 78% |
| 18 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 76% |
| 17 Oct, 04:23 UTC | 67% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Trump (3+ times) respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 31 Oct 2026. Variety published first, on 31 October at 02:21 UTC; Deadline followed 8 min later. The most recent article, from Consequence, appeared on 31 October at 16:25 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety Australia (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Deadline, Consequence.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Trump (3+ times) — the market puts it at 75%, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Feb 2027. The outcome is Yes if the White House Press Secretary mentions Trump three or more times during the next official press briefing. The outcome is No if he does not reach that count in that specific event. Readers often mistake informal gaggles for official briefings, but only the scheduled briefing counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Trump (3+ times) at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- VarietyBill Maher Fires Back at Trump by Comparing Him to Taylor Swift62%
- Deadline‘Real Time’: Bill Maher Reacts To Trump’s “Longest Ever” 1,300+ Word Tweet Berating Him: “Kind Of A Flex”62%
- The Hollywood ReporterBill Maher Responds to Trump’s 1,318-Word Social Rant: “He Went Off on Me Like Kelly Clarkson in a Toy Store”62%
- VarietyKid Rock Compares Abdul El-Sayed to 9/11 Hijackers on ‘Real Time with Bill Maher’62%
- Variety AustraliaBill Maher Fact-Checks Kid Rock After He Compares Abdul El-Sayed to 9/11 Hijackers on ‘Real Time’62%
- ConsequenceChristian Musician Kid Rock Compares Abdul El-Sayed to 9/11 Hijackers62%
- Current odds75%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Bill Maher Fact-Checks Kid Rock After He Compares Abdul El-Sayed to 9/11 Hijackers on ‘Real Time’ Variety Australia ·
- Kid Rock Compares Abdul El-Sayed to 9/11 Hijackers on ‘Real Time with Bill Maher’ Variety ·
- Bill Maher Responds to Trump’s 1,318-Word Social Rant: “He Went Off on Me Like Kelly Clarkson in a Toy Store” The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Bill Maher Fires Back at Trump by Comparing Him to Taylor Swift Variety ·
- Christian Musician Kid Rock Compares Abdul El-Sayed to 9/11 Hijackers Consequence
- ‘Real Time’: Bill Maher Reacts To Trump’s “Longest Ever” 1,300+ Word Tweet Berating Him: “Kind Of A Flex” Deadline
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Trump (3+ times) 75% +13
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In this story
- Bill Maher
- Kid Rock
- Abdul El-Sayed
- Donald Trump
- Real Time with Bill Maher