Avengers: Endgame Reclaims Top Box Office Spot From Avatar After Re-Release

The Marvel film surpasses James Cameron's Avatar to become the highest-grossing movie in history following a special theatrical re-release.

6 publishers · 6 articles · first seen 4 Oct 2026 · updated 33d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by Variety, 24 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	5%
7 Oct, 07:20 UTC	5%
6 Oct, 17:53 UTC	5%
6 Oct, 14:37 UTC	4%
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3 Oct, 13:37 UTC	5%
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3 Oct, 10:10 UTC	4%
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3 Oct, 00:10 UTC	4%
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2 Oct, 17:59 UTC	5%
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2 Oct, 04:28 UTC	5%
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1 Oct, 23:04 UTC	5%
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30 Sept, 22:03 UTC	5%
30 Sept, 21:55 UTC	5%
30 Sept, 20:46 UTC	5%
30 Sept, 20:16 UTC	5%
30 Sept, 19:32 UTC	5%
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30 Sept, 18:54 UTC	5%
30 Sept, 16:36 UTC	5%
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30 Sept, 14:50 UTC	5%
30 Sept, 14:06 UTC	5%
30 Sept, 13:48 UTC	5%
29 Sept, 21:17 UTC	6%
29 Sept, 17:16 UTC	5%
29 Sept, 15:59 UTC	5%
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29 Sept, 10:45 UTC	5%
29 Sept, 05:53 UTC	4%
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28 Sept, 01:28 UTC	4%
27 Sept, 19:13 UTC	4%
27 Sept, 15:59 UTC	4%
27 Sept, 03:46 UTC	4%
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20 Sept, 12:26 UTC	4%
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17 Sept, 12:55 UTC	4%
17 Sept, 12:14 UTC	3%
17 Sept, 11:55 UTC	3%
17 Sept, 11:23 UTC	4%
17 Sept, 10:55 UTC	4%
17 Sept, 10:29 UTC	4%
17 Sept, 09:42 UTC	4%
17 Sept, 08:13 UTC	4%
17 Sept, 07:59 UTC	4%
17 Sept, 07:02 UTC	4%
15 Sept, 12:10 UTC	5%
15 Sept, 11:55 UTC	4%
12 Sept, 19:31 UTC	5%
12 Sept, 18:39 UTC	6%

The story so far

6 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 4 Oct 2026. Variety published first, on 4 October at 14:46 UTC; Deadline followed 24 min later. The most recent article, from Times of India, appeared on 4 October at 22:25 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Deadline, The A.V. Club, Fortune, Times of India.

2 prediction markets price this story:

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? — the market puts it at 5%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Avengers: Doomsday has the highest domestic calendar gross in 2026 according to Box Office Mojo. The No outcome applies if any other film earns more during that same period. Readers often mistake the total worldwide gross or earnings from outside 2026 as relevant, but only the domestic calendar year 2026 data counts.
Avengers: Doomsday — the market puts it at 4%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the film receives a Best Picture nomination at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if it does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake box office earnings or general critical acclaim for the required official nomination.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

4 Oct, 14:46Variety ‘Avengers: Endgame’ Overtakes ‘Avatar’ as Highest-Grossing Movie in History With $2.925 Billion After ‘Encore’ Re-Release5%
4 Oct, 15:11Deadline ‘Avengers: Endgame’ Overtakes ‘Avatar’ Again As Highest Grossing Movie Ever At Global Box Office4%▼1 points since the previous source
4 Oct, 15:34The Hollywood Reporter ‘Avengers: Endgame’ Returns to No. 1 on All-Time Global Box Office Chart, Surpassing ‘Avatar’4%
4 Oct, 15:37The A.V. Club Avengers: Endgame leapfrogs Avatar to reclaim its all-time box office crown4%
4 Oct, 18:45Fortune ‘Avengers: Endgame’ is the biggest movie ever again, 7 years later—and it says a lot about the future of Hollywood’s IP machine4%
4 Oct, 22:25Times of India 'Avengers: Endgame' dethrones 'Avatar' as highest-grossing film of all time4%
NowCurrent odds5%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

Polymarket Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? 5% +1 $2k 24hends 8 Jan 2027
Does the market have this right?

Wrong market?

What's wrong
Kalshi Avengers: Doomsday 4% $0 24hends 31 Dec 2027
Does the market have this right?

Wrong market?

What's wrong

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In this story

Avengers: Endgame
Avatar
Disney
Marvel Studios

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