Reserve Bank of Australia Raises Interest Rates to 15-Year High

The central bank lifts the cash rate to 4.6% to combat persistent inflation, warning that further hikes may be necessary.

4 publishers · 8 articles · first seen 29 Sept 2026 · updated 37d ago

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10 Oct, 13:01 UTC	15%
10 Oct, 11:54 UTC	15%
10 Oct, 10:24 UTC	15%
10 Oct, 09:35 UTC	15%
10 Oct, 09:28 UTC	15%
10 Oct, 08:30 UTC	15%
10 Oct, 08:17 UTC	15%
10 Oct, 07:57 UTC	16%
10 Oct, 07:24 UTC	13%
10 Oct, 06:57 UTC	12%
10 Oct, 06:26 UTC	12%
10 Oct, 05:59 UTC	12%
10 Oct, 05:07 UTC	12%
10 Oct, 04:20 UTC	12%
10 Oct, 03:47 UTC	12%
10 Oct, 03:27 UTC	12%
9 Oct, 22:58 UTC	16%
9 Oct, 09:48 UTC	16%
9 Oct, 08:48 UTC	16%
9 Oct, 08:09 UTC	16%
9 Oct, 07:03 UTC	16%
9 Oct, 04:33 UTC	16%
9 Oct, 03:33 UTC	17%
9 Oct, 02:41 UTC	16%
9 Oct, 01:49 UTC	16%
9 Oct, 01:02 UTC	16%
9 Oct, 00:03 UTC	16%
8 Oct, 23:03 UTC	16%
8 Oct, 21:34 UTC	17%
8 Oct, 19:02 UTC	17%
8 Oct, 17:09 UTC	17%
8 Oct, 16:01 UTC	17%
8 Oct, 14:12 UTC	17%
8 Oct, 12:31 UTC	17%
8 Oct, 11:39 UTC	17%
8 Oct, 10:45 UTC	16%
7 Oct, 23:38 UTC	16%
7 Oct, 22:32 UTC	16%
7 Oct, 21:37 UTC	16%
7 Oct, 20:43 UTC	16%
7 Oct, 20:22 UTC	16%
7 Oct, 18:06 UTC	16%
7 Oct, 16:35 UTC	16%
7 Oct, 16:15 UTC	16%
7 Oct, 15:40 UTC	17%
7 Oct, 12:19 UTC	17%
7 Oct, 11:52 UTC	17%
7 Oct, 10:57 UTC	17%
7 Oct, 08:40 UTC	17%
7 Oct, 07:20 UTC	17%
7 Oct, 00:35 UTC	16%
6 Oct, 20:30 UTC	16%
6 Oct, 17:53 UTC	16%
6 Oct, 14:37 UTC	15%
6 Oct, 11:13 UTC	15%
6 Oct, 10:25 UTC	15%
6 Oct, 09:55 UTC	15%
6 Oct, 09:01 UTC	15%
6 Oct, 08:55 UTC	15%
6 Oct, 08:29 UTC	15%
6 Oct, 07:57 UTC	15%
6 Oct, 07:25 UTC	15%
6 Oct, 06:46 UTC	15%
6 Oct, 06:27 UTC	15%
6 Oct, 04:35 UTC	15%
6 Oct, 04:16 UTC	15%
6 Oct, 03:16 UTC	15%
6 Oct, 02:56 UTC	15%
6 Oct, 02:10 UTC	15%
6 Oct, 01:57 UTC	14%
6 Oct, 01:16 UTC	14%
6 Oct, 00:56 UTC	14%
6 Oct, 00:16 UTC	14%
5 Oct, 23:42 UTC	14%
5 Oct, 23:29 UTC	14%
5 Oct, 22:49 UTC	14%
5 Oct, 22:28 UTC	14%
5 Oct, 21:40 UTC	14%
5 Oct, 21:12 UTC	14%
5 Oct, 20:58 UTC	14%
5 Oct, 19:56 UTC	13%
5 Oct, 19:28 UTC	11%
5 Oct, 18:35 UTC	9%
5 Oct, 18:28 UTC	9%
5 Oct, 17:59 UTC	9%
5 Oct, 14:09 UTC	7%
5 Oct, 12:24 UTC	7%
5 Oct, 11:57 UTC	7%
5 Oct, 10:54 UTC	8%
5 Oct, 10:21 UTC	8%
5 Oct, 09:27 UTC	8%
5 Oct, 08:41 UTC	8%
5 Oct, 08:28 UTC	11%
5 Oct, 07:01 UTC	17%
5 Oct, 06:55 UTC	17%
5 Oct, 06:03 UTC	17%
5 Oct, 05:43 UTC	17%
5 Oct, 05:24 UTC	17%
5 Oct, 04:59 UTC	17%
5 Oct, 04:27 UTC	17%
5 Oct, 03:52 UTC	17%
5 Oct, 03:26 UTC	18%
5 Oct, 02:27 UTC	17%
5 Oct, 01:54 UTC	17%
5 Oct, 00:36 UTC	17%
4 Oct, 23:25 UTC	17%
4 Oct, 22:57 UTC	18%
4 Oct, 22:24 UTC	20%
4 Oct, 21:31 UTC	18%
4 Oct, 21:24 UTC	18%
4 Oct, 20:58 UTC	18%
4 Oct, 19:21 UTC	18%
4 Oct, 18:13 UTC	18%
4 Oct, 17:34 UTC	17%
4 Oct, 17:27 UTC	17%
4 Oct, 16:25 UTC	17%
4 Oct, 15:58 UTC	17%
4 Oct, 15:25 UTC	17%
4 Oct, 14:52 UTC	17%
4 Oct, 14:21 UTC	17%
4 Oct, 13:40 UTC	17%
4 Oct, 13:24 UTC	16%
4 Oct, 12:52 UTC	16%
4 Oct, 12:13 UTC	16%
4 Oct, 11:49 UTC	16%
4 Oct, 11:23 UTC	16%
4 Oct, 10:57 UTC	15%
4 Oct, 10:20 UTC	16%
4 Oct, 09:47 UTC	16%
4 Oct, 08:49 UTC	15%
4 Oct, 07:12 UTC	15%
4 Oct, 05:30 UTC	15%
4 Oct, 05:04 UTC	15%
4 Oct, 04:58 UTC	15%
4 Oct, 04:00 UTC	15%
4 Oct, 02:37 UTC	15%
4 Oct, 01:39 UTC	15%
4 Oct, 01:07 UTC	15%
4 Oct, 00:41 UTC	15%
4 Oct, 00:15 UTC	15%
3 Oct, 23:35 UTC	16%
3 Oct, 21:50 UTC	16%
3 Oct, 20:56 UTC	16%
3 Oct, 08:48 UTC	15%
3 Oct, 07:57 UTC	15%
3 Oct, 07:13 UTC	15%
3 Oct, 06:40 UTC	15%
3 Oct, 06:19 UTC	15%
3 Oct, 05:42 UTC	15%
3 Oct, 03:19 UTC	15%
3 Oct, 02:53 UTC	14%
3 Oct, 01:21 UTC	14%
3 Oct, 00:56 UTC	14%
3 Oct, 00:03 UTC	14%
2 Oct, 22:42 UTC	14%
2 Oct, 22:02 UTC	14%
2 Oct, 21:55 UTC	14%
2 Oct, 21:29 UTC	15%
2 Oct, 20:58 UTC	14%
2 Oct, 20:11 UTC	14%
2 Oct, 19:50 UTC	14%
2 Oct, 19:23 UTC	14%
2 Oct, 18:55 UTC	14%
2 Oct, 18:26 UTC	15%
2 Oct, 17:59 UTC	15%
2 Oct, 17:18 UTC	15%
2 Oct, 16:57 UTC	15%
2 Oct, 16:23 UTC	15%
2 Oct, 15:59 UTC	16%
2 Oct, 15:23 UTC	15%
2 Oct, 14:42 UTC	17%
2 Oct, 14:28 UTC	18%
2 Oct, 13:55 UTC	17%
2 Oct, 13:25 UTC	19%
2 Oct, 12:58 UTC	19%
2 Oct, 09:53 UTC	29%
2 Oct, 08:45 UTC	29%
2 Oct, 07:35 UTC	28%
2 Oct, 07:28 UTC	29%
2 Oct, 06:11 UTC	29%
2 Oct, 05:58 UTC	29%
2 Oct, 03:15 UTC	28%
2 Oct, 02:30 UTC	28%
2 Oct, 01:13 UTC	28%
2 Oct, 00:43 UTC	28%
2 Oct, 00:10 UTC	28%
1 Oct, 23:45 UTC	29%
1 Oct, 23:25 UTC	29%
1 Oct, 22:51 UTC	29%
1 Oct, 22:26 UTC	28%
1 Oct, 21:53 UTC	28%
1 Oct, 16:06 UTC	30%
1 Oct, 15:58 UTC	30%
1 Oct, 14:21 UTC	30%
1 Oct, 12:07 UTC	30%
1 Oct, 11:04 UTC	30%
1 Oct, 10:49 UTC	30%
1 Oct, 10:13 UTC	30%
1 Oct, 09:59 UTC	30%
1 Oct, 09:03 UTC	30%
1 Oct, 08:48 UTC	30%
1 Oct, 08:11 UTC	30%
1 Oct, 07:48 UTC	30%
1 Oct, 07:27 UTC	30%
1 Oct, 06:55 UTC	30%
1 Oct, 06:15 UTC	30%
1 Oct, 05:40 UTC	30%
1 Oct, 05:13 UTC	30%
1 Oct, 04:37 UTC	31%
1 Oct, 03:48 UTC	31%
1 Oct, 03:27 UTC	31%
1 Oct, 01:20 UTC	31%
1 Oct, 00:58 UTC	30%
1 Oct, 00:23 UTC	30%
30 Sept, 23:53 UTC	30%
30 Sept, 23:13 UTC	29%
30 Sept, 22:51 UTC	28%
30 Sept, 21:08 UTC	28%
30 Sept, 20:46 UTC	28%
30 Sept, 20:16 UTC	28%
30 Sept, 13:00 UTC	28%
30 Sept, 12:16 UTC	28%
30 Sept, 11:47 UTC	28%
30 Sept, 11:03 UTC	28%
30 Sept, 10:36 UTC	28%
30 Sept, 10:29 UTC	28%
30 Sept, 09:59 UTC	28%
30 Sept, 08:57 UTC	29%
30 Sept, 08:06 UTC	29%
30 Sept, 07:58 UTC	29%
30 Sept, 07:02 UTC	30%
30 Sept, 06:48 UTC	30%
30 Sept, 06:20 UTC	30%
30 Sept, 05:45 UTC	30%
30 Sept, 05:24 UTC	30%
30 Sept, 04:55 UTC	28%
30 Sept, 04:06 UTC	28%
30 Sept, 03:49 UTC	29%
30 Sept, 03:13 UTC	29%
30 Sept, 02:36 UTC	29%
30 Sept, 02:21 UTC	29%
30 Sept, 01:37 UTC	29%
30 Sept, 00:18 UTC	35%
29 Sept, 23:54 UTC	35%
29 Sept, 23:23 UTC	34%
29 Sept, 22:38 UTC	33%
29 Sept, 20:42 UTC	32%
29 Sept, 20:26 UTC	32%
29 Sept, 19:54 UTC	32%
29 Sept, 19:25 UTC	32%
29 Sept, 18:05 UTC	32%
29 Sept, 17:57 UTC	32%
29 Sept, 17:25 UTC	32%
29 Sept, 16:54 UTC	32%
29 Sept, 16:23 UTC	32%
29 Sept, 15:59 UTC	34%
29 Sept, 15:24 UTC	35%
29 Sept, 14:53 UTC	35%
29 Sept, 13:58 UTC	35%
29 Sept, 13:27 UTC	35%
29 Sept, 12:48 UTC	34%
29 Sept, 12:26 UTC	35%
29 Sept, 11:56 UTC	35%
29 Sept, 11:28 UTC	32%
29 Sept, 10:59 UTC	32%
29 Sept, 10:15 UTC	32%
29 Sept, 09:51 UTC	32%
29 Sept, 09:09 UTC	32%
29 Sept, 08:55 UTC	32%
29 Sept, 08:27 UTC	34%
28 Sept, 08:12 UTC	23%

The story so far

4 publishers have covered this in 8 articles since 29 Sept 2026. News Feed published first, on 29 September at 05:18 UTC; The Guardian Business followed 4 min later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Business, appeared on 1 October at 03:32 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), The Guardian Business (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Bloomberg.com (major outlet).

One prediction market prices this story:

Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? — resolved “Yes” on 3 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if the Reserve Bank of Australia raises its cash rate target by exactly 25 basis points at the November 2-3, 2026 meeting. The No outcome applies for any other change, including no change or a different amount. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about past rate hikes as relevant, but only the specific decision from the November 2026 meeting counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

29 Sept, 05:18News Feed Australia raises interest rate to highest level in 15 years23%
29 Sept, 05:23The Guardian Business RBA interest rates: Reserve Bank hikes cash rate to 4.6%, the highest level since 201123%
29 Sept, 06:29Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Australia raises interest rates to 15-year high23%
29 Sept, 06:45The Guardian Business RBA interest rates: governor Michele Bullock explains decision to lift cash rate to 4.6% – video23%
29 Sept, 09:55Bloomberg.com Australia Battles Persistent Inflation by Hiking Rates to 15-year High32%▲9 points since the previous source
30 Sept, 00:56Bloomberg Markets Funds Buy Australian Bonds on Signal Rate Hikes Are Nearing End35%▲2 points since the previous source
1 Oct, 02:22Bloomberg.com Bloomberg Australia: Why the RBA Could Hike Again (Podcast)31%▼4 points since the previous source
1 Oct, 03:32The Guardian Business Australia at risk from major global financial shock, Reserve Bank warns31%
3 Nov, 05:32Market resolved: Yes

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

Resolved Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes 4d ago
The market favoured Yes at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Wrong market?

What's wrong

In this story

Reserve Bank of Australia
Michele Bullock
Australia

Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.

<iframe src="https://newsmarkets.org/embed/story/australia-raises-interest-rate-to-highest-level-in-15-years-35315" width="100%" height="420" style="border:0;max-width:640px" loading="lazy" title="Reserve Bank of Australia Raises Interest Rates to 15-Year High · NewsMarkets"></iframe>