Australia beat South Africa despite finishing with 11 men in Perth Test
The Australian team secured a 42-38 victory over the world champions after losing four players to yellow cards in the final 11 minutes.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Sept, 14:45 UTC | 67% |
| 27 Sept, 14:24 UTC | 49% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 55% |
| 27 Sept, 13:29 UTC | 63% |
| 27 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 75% |
| 27 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Sept, 11:06 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Sept, 10:44 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Sept, 10:22 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 09:50 UTC | 44% |
| 27 Sept, 09:23 UTC | 42% |
| 27 Sept, 08:42 UTC | 36% |
| 27 Sept, 08:29 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 07:55 UTC | 48% |
| 27 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 47% |
| 26 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 45% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 46% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 46% |
| 26 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 46% |
| 26 Sept, 03:23 UTC | 47% |
| 26 Sept, 02:24 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 20:32 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 19:32 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 18:29 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 15:01 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 13:11 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 11:48 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 11:04 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 10:57 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 09:37 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 08:46 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 08:06 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 07:07 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 06:10 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 04:49 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 03:37 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 02:06 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 01:46 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Sept, 01:26 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Sept, 00:52 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Sept, 00:13 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 23:52 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 50% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 27 Sept 2026. BBC Sport published first, on 27 September at 12:19 UTC; SkySports followed 1h 50m later. The most recent article, from SkySports, appeared on 27 September at 14:09 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: BBC Sport, SkySports.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia — resolved “South Africa” on 27 Sept 2026. The market resolves to South Africa if they win the scheduled ODI on September 27, 2026, and to Australia if they win. Ties without a Super Over or canceled matches result in a 50-50 split. Readers often mistake the linked story about the first ODI as relevant, but this market applies only to the specific fixture scheduled for September 27.
- Brazil — resolved “Yes” on 29 Sept 2026. Brazil wins the match within the standard 90 minutes of play, including stoppage time, for the Yes outcome. The result excludes any extra time or penalty shootouts that might follow. Readers often mistakenly believe that a victory in extra time or on penalties counts toward resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia South Africa 41d ago
The market favoured Australia at 55% a day out, but South Africa won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Brazil Yes 39d ago
The market favoured Yes at 75% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?