NewsMarkets

Culture

Verity Tops Box Office as Anne Hathaway Scores Third No. 1 of Year

The film adaptation of Colleen Hoover's novel opens at number one in the U.S. and U.K., marking Hathaway's third box office lead this year.

7 publishers · 20 articles · first seen 28 Sept 2026 · updated 31d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by Variety, 1h 13m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Anne Hathaway
0%50%100%4%29 Sept, 11:58 UTCnowThe Hollywood Reporter: Inside the ‘Verity’ House: Designing a “Fever Dream” You Can’t Escape · 7 Oct, 17:04 UTCVariety: ‘Verity’ Tops U.K., Ireland Box Office as Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ Opens in Fourth · 7 Oct, 09:46 UTCThe Hollywood Reporter: ‘Verity’ Star Anne Hathaway on Whether She’s Team Letter or Team Manuscript · 5 Oct, 17:30 UTCThe Hollywood Reporter: Inside the ‘Verity’ Adaptation: Crafting a Mystery Where Nothing Is Certain · 5 Oct, 16:30 UTCThe New York Times: With ‘Verity,’ Anne Hathaway Has Her Third No. 1 Movie This Year · 4 Oct, 20:42 UTCVariety: ‘Verity’ Cast Reveals Their Go-To Book Recommendations on Heels of Novel’s Big-Screen Adaptation (Exclusive) · 3 Oct, 18:39 UTCVariety: ‘Verity’ Had a Much More Twisted Ending. Then Came the Focus Group Screenings · 2 Oct, 21:00 UTCThe Hollywood Reporter: Anne Hathaway Completes Her Epic Year With ‘Verity,’ Florence Pugh Debuts ‘East of Eden’ and This Week’s Best Events · 2 Oct, 19:03 UTCNews Feed: Verity — this twisty Colleen Hoover adaptation is a convoluted dud · 1 Oct, 15:23 UTCVariety: Box Office: ‘Verity’ Aims for $35 Million Debut and Anne Hathaway’s Third No. 1 Movie of the Year, ‘Digger’ Could Bomb With $12 Million · 30 Sept, 21:45 UTCThe Hollywood Reporter: Anne Hathaway Says This ‘Verity’ Scene Almost Made Her Break Character — And It Involved a Foot Rub · 30 Sept, 17:21 UTCThe Hollywood Reporter: ‘Verity’ Review: Anne Hathaway, Dakota Johnson and Josh Hartnett Try and Fail to Slink Their Way Through a Dumb Mystery · 30 Sept, 13:00 UTCVariety: ‘Verity’ Review: Dakota Johnson and Anne Hathaway Drift Through Another Listless Colleen Hoover Adaptation · 30 Sept, 13:00 UTCDeadline: ‘Verity’ To Seduce $55M+ WW Opening As Box Office Braces For ‘Digger’ Impact – Global Preview · 1 Oct, 18:30 UTCDeadline: Josh Hartnett On Working With Intimacy Coordinator On The ‘Verity’ Set With Anne Hathaway & Dakota Johnson · 30 Sept, 18:03 UTCThe A.V. Club: Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson have a mismatched genre face-off in Verity · 30 Sept, 13:00 UTCDeadline: ‘Verity’ Review: Dakota Johnson And Anne Hathaway Play Authors In Psychological Thriller But Are They Really Alter Egos For Colleen Hoover? · 30 Sept, 13:00 UTCIndieWire: ‘Verity’ Review: Dakota Johnson and Anne Hathaway Co-Star in a Fun and Frigid Psycho-Thriller · 30 Sept, 13:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 2 more published before price tracking began

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now4%
7 Oct, 18:40 UTC4%
6 Oct, 00:56 UTC3%
30 Sept, 13:08 UTC6%
29 Sept, 11:58 UTC4%

The story so far

7 publishers have covered this in 20 articles since 28 Sept 2026. Variety published first, on 28 September at 17:50 UTC; The A.V. Club followed 1h 14m later. The most recent article, from The Hollywood Reporter, appeared on 7 October at 17:04 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), The A.V. Club, Deadline, IndieWire.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Anne Hathaway — the market puts it at 4%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Anne Hathaway receives a nomination for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about her pregnancy as the deciding factor, but only an official Oscar nomination counts.
  • Anne hathaway — the market puts it at 2%, with $374 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Anne Hathaway wins Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if she does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake the linked news story about her pregnancy tour as the deciding factor, but only the Oscar result matters.
  • Anne Hathaway — the market puts it at 62%, with $927 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Anne Hathaway wins the Best Supporting Actress award at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. It resolves to No if she does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake other awards or box office success for the deciding factor, but only this particular Critics Choice Award matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Anne Hathaway at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. VarietyAnne Hathaway Blocked from ‘Hot Ones’ on ‘Verity’ Press Tour After Doctor Warns It Could Disrupt Pregnancy: ‘I Might Go Into Early Labor’—
  2. The A.V. ClubAnne Hathaway too pregnant for Hot Ones—
  3. The Hollywood Reporter‘Verity’ Review: Anne Hathaway, Dakota Johnson and Josh Hartnett Try and Fail to Slink Their Way Through a Dumb Mystery4%
  4. Variety‘Verity’ Review: Dakota Johnson and Anne Hathaway Drift Through Another Listless Colleen Hoover Adaptation4%
  5. Deadline‘Verity’ Review: Dakota Johnson And Anne Hathaway Play Authors In Psychological Thriller But Are They Really Alter Egos For Colleen Hoover?4%
  6. IndieWire‘Verity’ Review: Dakota Johnson and Anne Hathaway Co-Star in a Fun and Frigid Psycho-Thriller4%
  7. The A.V. ClubAnne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson have a mismatched genre face-off in Verity4%
  8. The Hollywood ReporterAnne Hathaway Says This ‘Verity’ Scene Almost Made Her Break Character — And It Involved a Foot Rub6%▲2 points since the previous source
  9. DeadlineJosh Hartnett On Working With Intimacy Coordinator On The ‘Verity’ Set With Anne Hathaway & Dakota Johnson6%
  10. VarietyBox Office: ‘Verity’ Aims for $35 Million Debut and Anne Hathaway’s Third No. 1 Movie of the Year, ‘Digger’ Could Bomb With $12 Million6%
  11. Show 10 later sources
    1. News FeedVerity — this twisty Colleen Hoover adaptation is a convoluted dud6%
    2. Deadline‘Verity’ To Seduce $55M+ WW Opening As Box Office Braces For ‘Digger’ Impact – Global Preview6%
    3. The Hollywood ReporterAnne Hathaway Completes Her Epic Year With ‘Verity,’ Florence Pugh Debuts ‘East of Eden’ and This Week’s Best Events6%
    4. Variety‘Verity’ Had a Much More Twisted Ending. Then Came the Focus Group Screenings6%
    5. Variety‘Verity’ Cast Reveals Their Go-To Book Recommendations on Heels of Novel’s Big-Screen Adaptation (Exclusive)6%
    6. The New York TimesWith ‘Verity,’ Anne Hathaway Has Her Third No. 1 Movie This Year6%
    7. The Hollywood ReporterInside the ‘Verity’ Adaptation: Crafting a Mystery Where Nothing Is Certain6%
    8. The Hollywood Reporter‘Verity’ Star Anne Hathaway on Whether She’s Team Letter or Team Manuscript6%
    9. Variety‘Verity’ Tops U.K., Ireland Box Office as Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ Opens in Fourth3%▼3 points since the previous source
    10. The Hollywood ReporterInside the ‘Verity’ House: Designing a “Fever Dream” You Can’t Escape3%
  12. Current odds4%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Inside the ‘Verity’ House: Designing a “Fever Dream” You Can’t Escape The Hollywood Reporter ·
  2. ‘Verity’ Tops U.K., Ireland Box Office as Tom Cruise’s ‘Digger’ Opens in Fourth Variety ·
  3. ‘Verity’ Star Anne Hathaway on Whether She’s Team Letter or Team Manuscript The Hollywood Reporter ·
  4. Inside the ‘Verity’ Adaptation: Crafting a Mystery Where Nothing Is Certain The Hollywood Reporter ·
  5. With ‘Verity,’ Anne Hathaway Has Her Third No. 1 Movie This Year The New York Times ·
  6. ‘Verity’ Cast Reveals Their Go-To Book Recommendations on Heels of Novel’s Big-Screen Adaptation (Exclusive) Variety ·
Show 14 more sources
  1. ‘Verity’ Had a Much More Twisted Ending. Then Came the Focus Group Screenings Variety ·
  2. Anne Hathaway Completes Her Epic Year With ‘Verity,’ Florence Pugh Debuts ‘East of Eden’ and This Week’s Best Events The Hollywood Reporter ·
  3. Verity — this twisty Colleen Hoover adaptation is a convoluted dud News Feed ·
  4. Box Office: ‘Verity’ Aims for $35 Million Debut and Anne Hathaway’s Third No. 1 Movie of the Year, ‘Digger’ Could Bomb With $12 Million Variety ·
  5. Anne Hathaway Says This ‘Verity’ Scene Almost Made Her Break Character — And It Involved a Foot Rub The Hollywood Reporter ·
  6. ‘Verity’ Review: Anne Hathaway, Dakota Johnson and Josh Hartnett Try and Fail to Slink Their Way Through a Dumb Mystery The Hollywood Reporter ·
  7. ‘Verity’ Review: Dakota Johnson and Anne Hathaway Drift Through Another Listless Colleen Hoover Adaptation Variety ·
  8. Anne Hathaway Blocked from ‘Hot Ones’ on ‘Verity’ Press Tour After Doctor Warns It Could Disrupt Pregnancy: ‘I Might Go Into Early Labor’ Variety ·
  9. ‘Verity’ To Seduce $55M+ WW Opening As Box Office Braces For ‘Digger’ Impact – Global Preview Deadline
  10. Josh Hartnett On Working With Intimacy Coordinator On The ‘Verity’ Set With Anne Hathaway & Dakota Johnson Deadline
  11. Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson have a mismatched genre face-off in Verity The A.V. Club
  12. ‘Verity’ Review: Dakota Johnson And Anne Hathaway Play Authors In Psychological Thriller But Are They Really Alter Egos For Colleen Hoover? Deadline
  13. ‘Verity’ Review: Dakota Johnson and Anne Hathaway Co-Star in a Fun and Frigid Psycho-Thriller IndieWire
  14. Anne Hathaway too pregnant for Hot Ones The A.V. Club

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Anne Hathaway 4% $0 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Anne hathaway 2% +1 $374 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Anne Hathaway 62% $927 24hends 3 Jan 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

  • Anne Hathaway
  • Colleen Hoover
  • Dakota Johnson
  • Josh Hartnett
  • Michael Showalter
Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.