Alaska Senate Candidate Mary Peltola Reschedules Campaign Stops After Car Crash
Mary Peltola and her family sustained minor injuries in a collision while traveling to an event, prompting the rescheduling of upcoming campaign events.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Politico, 5 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 74% |
| 28 Oct, 07:43 UTC | 74% |
| 28 Oct, 05:19 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 22:03 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 73% |
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| 27 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 72% |
| 26 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 74% |
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| 26 Oct, 17:13 UTC | 75% |
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| 11 Oct, 20:34 UTC | 72% |
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| 11 Oct, 02:18 UTC | 72% |
| 11 Oct, 00:26 UTC | 74% |
| 10 Oct, 23:36 UTC | 72% |
| 10 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 70% |
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| 9 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 76% |
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| 8 Oct, 18:11 UTC | 78% |
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| 4 Oct, 02:37 UTC | 72% |
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| 3 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 72% |
| 3 Oct, 19:22 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 72% |
| 3 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 71% |
| 2 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Oct, 00:30 UTC | 71% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 70% |
| 1 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 71% |
| 1 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 72% |
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| 30 Sept, 20:01 UTC | 72% |
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| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Sept, 05:11 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Sept, 01:36 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Sept, 00:22 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Sept, 03:06 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 72% |
| 26 Sept, 23:17 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 72% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Sept, 16:56 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 74% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Sept, 02:46 UTC | 74% |
| 25 Sept, 01:06 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Sept, 23:21 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Sept, 22:31 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Sept, 21:46 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 74% |
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| 24 Sept, 18:09 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Sept, 17:48 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Sept, 17:09 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Sept, 15:32 UTC | 73% |
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| 24 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Sept, 07:47 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Sept, 05:28 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 78% |
| 22 Sept, 07:02 UTC | 73% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Mary Peltola respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 25 Oct 2026. Politico published first, on 25 October at 17:26 UTC; CBS News Politics followed 5 min later. The most recent article, from Fox News Politics, appeared on 26 October at 12:36 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Politico (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Fox News Politics.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Mary Peltola — the market puts it at 74%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Mary Peltola wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election. The outcome is No if she does not win. Readers often mistake the source of truth for news reports rather than the official election results.
- Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? — the market puts it at 75%, with $11k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Mary Peltola wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, including any required run-offs. It resolves to No if she loses that race. Readers often mistake the deadline for the official certification date instead of the date when the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the winner.
- At least 46% — the market puts it at 92%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Mary Peltola receives at least 46% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election. It resolves to No if she receives less than 46%. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election day rather than the date the results are officially certified.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Mary Peltola at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- PoliticoPeltola postpones campaign stops after Saturday car crash74%
- CBS News PoliticsAlaska Senate candidate sustains "minor injuries" in car accident74%
- The GuardianAlaska Senate candidate Mary Peltola delays campaign stops after car crash74%
- The HillPeltola to reschedule Fairbanks, Bethel campaign stops after car crash75%▲1 points since the previous source
- Fox News PoliticsAlaska Dem Senate candidate suffers minor injuries in car crash, forcing her to skip campaign events74%▼1 points since the previous source
- Current odds74%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Peltola to reschedule Fairbanks, Bethel campaign stops after car crash The Hill ·
- Alaska Senate candidate Mary Peltola delays campaign stops after car crash The Guardian ·
- Alaska Senate candidate sustains "minor injuries" in car accident CBS News Politics ·
- Peltola postpones campaign stops after Saturday car crash Politico ·
- Alaska Dem Senate candidate suffers minor injuries in car crash, forcing her to skip campaign events Fox News Politics
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Mary Peltola 74%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? 75%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi At least 46% 92%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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In this story
- Mary Peltola
- Alaska