At least 46%
Implied probability 92%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Mary Peltola receives at least 46% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election. It resolves to No if she receives less than 46%. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election day rather than the date the results are officially certified.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 92%
- No 8%