The Social Reckoning flops at box office with weak $5.5m weekend
Aaron Sorkin's film about Mark Zuckerberg has grossed only $5.5 million against a $30-42 million budget, signaling a poor start for the Meta-focused drama.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 12 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 04:30 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 13% |
| 5 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 20% |
| 5 Oct, 15:14 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 07:32 UTC | 17% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch The Social Reckoning respond.
The story so far
20 publishers have covered this in 74 articles since 30 Sept 2026. Variety published first, on 30 September at 04:09 UTC; The A.V. Club followed 17h 31m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Business, appeared on 16 October at 12:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Feed: All Latest (major outlet), The Verge (major outlet), The Guardian Business (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), TechCrunch (major outlet), The A.V. Club, Deadline, NME, IndieWire, Consequence and 8 more, all listed under Sources below.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- The Social Reckoning — the market puts it at 4%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The outcome is Yes if the film receives a Best Picture nomination at the 99th Academy Awards. The outcome is No if it does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake general nominations or awards for the required Best Picture category.
- The Social Reckoning — the market puts it at 27%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The outcome is Yes if the film wins the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards. The outcome is No if it does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake the deadline or assume other nominations count toward the result.
- Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? — the market puts it at 0%, with $201 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Mar 2027. The market resolves to Yes if The Social Reckoning wins Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards on March 14, 2027. It resolves to No if the film does not win or is not officially nominated when nominees are announced on January 21, 2027. Readers often mistake box office performance for eligibility, but only official nomination and award status from AMPAS count.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on The Social Reckoning at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- VarietyAaron Sorkin Says ‘Social Reckoning’ Reshoots Had Nothing to Do With Trailer Backlash, Explains Why Trump Isn’t Named: It’s ‘Not a Red-Blue Thing’—
- The A.V. ClubAaron Sorkin thinks The Social Reckoning should somehow not be political—
- The Hollywood ReporterAaron Sorkin Bets On Himself to Deliver a Worthy ‘Social Network’ Follow-Up. No Pressure—
- The Hollywood ReporterAaron Sorkin Made a Movie About Her. She Just Hopes Mark Zuckerberg Watches.—
- Variety‘The Social Reckoning’ Soundtrack Features New Music From Composer Alexandre Desplat—
- DeadlineAaron Sorkin Clarifies He “Was Never Asked” To Omit Trump From ‘The Social Reckoning’ But Film Is “Not A Red-Blue Thing”—
- Variety‘A Few Good Men’ on Broadway: Aaron Sorkin, Bradley Whitford and Team Behind Revival on Why It’s ’So Fucking Relevant’ in Trump Era—
- The A.V. ClubJeremy Strong's Mark Zuckerberg apparently had some defensive notes for Aaron Sorkin—
- VarietyAaron Sorkin Says It ‘Never Occurred’ to Him That Jesse Eisenberg Wouldn’t Play Mark Zuckerberg in ‘The Social Reckoning,’ Claims the Paycheck Was a ‘Disincentive’—
- DeadlineAaron Sorkin Says “It Never Occurred To Me” That Jesse Eisenberg Wouldn’t Want To Return For ‘The Social Reckoning’—
Show 64 later sources
- The A.V. ClubDamn, Aaron Sorkin really gave Jesse Eisenberg the hard sell to come back as Mark Zuckerberg—
- DeadlineJeremy Strong Says He Cares What Mark Zuckerberg Thinks About ‘The Social Reckoning’—
- The Hollywood Reporter‘The Social Reckoning’ Is an Even Bigger Burn on Mark Zuckerberg Than You Think17%
- The Hollywood ReporterAaron Sorkin on Why Mark Zuckerberg Isn’t a Villain in ‘The Social Reckoning,’ Despite That “He’s Making Bad Decisions That Are Hurting Us”20%▲3 points since the previous source
- Variety‘The Social Reckoning’ First Reactions: A ‘Solid Sequel,’ ‘Good, Just Not Great Film’ and a ‘Harsh Assessment of Zuckerberg’20%
- The Hollywood ReporterAaron Sorkin’s ‘The Social Reckoning’: First Reactions13%▼7 points since the previous source
- NME‘The Social Reckoning’ review: solid sequel to the original social media horror story13%
- Features – IndieWireAfter Playing ‘Bombastic and Emotionally Volatile’ Roles, Mikey Madison Craved the ‘Restraint’ of ‘The Social Reckoning’13%
- Feed: All Latest‘The Social Reckoning’ Already Feels Irrelevant13%
- The VergeThe Social Reckoning is a tepid thriller that reminds us of how we got here13%
- Movies | Hollywood Reporter‘The Social Reckoning’ Review: Aaron Sorkin Savages Facebook Once Again in Sharp Whistleblower Thriller Led by Mikey Madison and Jeremy Allen White13%
- ConsequenceThe Social Reckoning Review: Aaron Sorkin Goes Scorched Earth on Facebook13%
- EngadgetThe Social Reckoning is a timely reminder that we shouldn't trust Meta13%
- Deadline‘The Social Reckoning’ Review: Jeremy Allen White And Mikey Madison Expose Facebook In Aaron Sorkin’s Stirring Journalistic Thriller Sequel13%
- IndieWire‘The Social Reckoning’ Review: Aaron Sorkin’s Facebook Files Only Expose Bad Performances and an Even Lousier Script13%
- The Guardian CultureThe Social Reckoning review – Aaron Sorkin’s jittery sequel with all-new evil puppet Zuckerberg13%
- The A.V. ClubMark Zuckerberg disappears from his own story in The Social Reckoning13%
- NME‘The Social Reckoning’ review: solid sequel to the original social media horror story13%
- Variety‘The Social Reckoning’ Review: Aaron Sorkin’s ‘Social Network’ Follow-Up Is Missing More Than Just David Fincher13%
- IndieWire‘The Social Reckoning’ Is the Kind of Film That the Oscars Have Moved Past Recognizing13%
- The VergeWhat The Social Reckoning gets right — and wrong13%
- VarietyBox Office: ‘The Social Reckoning’ Targets $7 Million Opening Weekend, ‘Other Mommy’ to Scare Up $20 Million-Plus Debut13%
- The New York Times‘The Social Reckoning’ Review: Sounding the Alarm13%
- VarietyAaron Sorkin and Mikey Madison on ‘The Social Reckoning’: Getting Inside a Whistleblower’s Mind, Jeremy Strong’s ‘Antihero’ Zuckerberg and Why Trump is the Movie’s Voldemort13%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesAaron Sorkin, Mikey Madison, Jeremy Allen White: The director and cast behind the Facebook sequel13%
- FortuneThe Facebook whistleblower behind ‘The Social Reckoning’ says Zuckerberg is ‘playing with fire’ on AI13%
- All Content from Business InsiderMikey Madison plays a Facebook whistleblower in 'The Social Reckoning.' Here's where the real Frances Haugen is now.13%
- All Content from Business InsiderHow the cast of 'The Social Reckoning' compares to the real-life people they're playing13%
- The Hollywood Reporter‘The Social Reckoning’ Filmmaker Aaron Sorkin Isn’t Ruling Out a Zuckerberg Trilogy13%
- The Hollywood ReporterNewport Beach Film Fest: ‘Social Reckoning’ Filmmaker Aaron Sorkin Set for Maverick Award, Live Episode of ‘Awards Chatter’ Podcast13%
- The Hollywood Reporter‘Social Reckoning’ Faces Box Office Challenge With ‘Other Mommy’ Set to Scare Away Competition13%
- The New York TimesWhat to Know About the Facebook Whistle-Blowing Case Depicted in ‘The Social Reckoning’13%
- The New York TimesAaron Sorkin on ‘The Social Reckoning’13%
- The New York TimesZuckerberg Loses Control in “The Social Reckoning”13%
- All Content from Business InsiderAt the movies, tech founders like Mark Zuckerberg and Elon Musk are in their villain era13%
- National ReviewThe Social Reckoning — a Sequel Without Accountability13%
- The Guardian CultureThe new Darth Vader: how tech execs became the film villains of our age13%
- Rolling Stone‘The Social Reckoning’ Wants to Be ‘All the Zuckerberg’s Men’13%
- All Content from Business InsiderWith 'The Social Reckoning,' Aaron Sorkin makes Mark Zuckerberg uncool13%
- The VergeFrances Haugen hopes The Social Reckoning will inspire more whistleblowers13%
- The Hollywood Reporter‘The Social Reckoning’ Stars Mikey Madison and Jeremy Allen White Discuss the Pressure of Following ‘The Social Network’13%
- Features – IndieWireWhy ‘The Social Reckoning’ Reimagines Facebook’s Offices as a Palace of Fear13%
- VarietyBill Burr on ‘The Social Reckoning,’ Sparring With Jeremy Strong as Mark Zuckerberg and Why Tech CEOs are ‘Leading Us to Ruin’13%
- Variety AustraliaBill Burr on ‘The Social Reckoning,’ Sparring With Jeremy Strong as Mark Zuckerberg and Why Tech CEOs are ‘Leading Us to Ruin’13%
- The Guardian CultureFrom The Social Reckoning to Harriet Kemsley: your complete entertainment guide to the week ahead13%
- Times of IndiaIn 2014, Mark Zuckerberg called this movie 'hurtful. Now, Sony is trolling Meta CEO13%
- Variety‘The Social Reckoning’ Breakout Portia Doubleday on Playing ‘White Girl Wasted’ Conspiracy Theorist: ‘I Knew People Who Were Radicalized’13%
- Features – IndieWireBill Burr vs. Facebook: Inside ‘The Social Reckoning’ Fantasy of the Comedian Speaking Truth to Power13%
- The New York TimesThree Mark Zuckerbergs, Three Surprisingly Different Men13%
- IndieWire‘The Social Reckoning’ Bombs With $5.5 Million Opening. Why Did Aaron Sorkin’s Facebook Follow-Up Fail at the Box Office?13%
- TechCrunchAaron Sorkin’s ‘Social Reckoning’ is off to a weak start13%
- FortuneThe movie about a Facebook whistleblower who leaked incriminating details disappoints, and ‘The Social Reckoning’ will likely lag ‘The Social Network’13%
- All Content from Business InsiderJeremy Strong argued with Aaron Sorkin in-character as Mark Zuckerberg over this one line in 'The Social Reckoning'13%
- The VergeThe Social Reckoning is flopping at the box office13%
- The Hollywood ReporterWhy ‘Social Reckoning’ Went Silent as More Tech Movies Face Box Office Test13%
- The Guardian CultureThe Social Reckoning isn’t as angry or as potent as a Facebook drama should be13%
- The A.V. ClubMark Zuckerberg stopped being compelling when Aaron Sorkin decided he was tragic13%
- FortuneMark Zuckerberg gets the last laugh as ‘The Social Reckoning’ flops—opening to a fraction of what ‘The Social Network’ made 16 years ago13%
- DeadlineJesse Eisenberg Reveals Thoughts On ‘The Social Reckoning’ & Why He Turned Down Zuckerberg Role13%
- The A.V. ClubJesse Eisenberg still wants nothing to do with Mark Zuckerberg, thanks for asking13%
- Rolling StoneJeremy Allen White and Mikey Madison on the Perils of Social Media13%
- The VergeThe tech backlash is now in theaters13%
- CNETThe Social Reckoning Review: Sorkin’s Facebook Film Is Uncomfortably Relevant13%
- The Guardian BusinessHow to dress a tech oligarch: The Social Reckoning’s costume designer on Zuckerberg’s style evolution13%
- Current odds4%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- How to dress a tech oligarch: The Social Reckoning’s costume designer on Zuckerberg’s style evolution The Guardian Business ·
- The tech backlash is now in theaters The Verge ·
- The Social Reckoning isn’t as angry or as potent as a Facebook drama should be The Guardian Culture ·
- Why ‘Social Reckoning’ Went Silent as More Tech Movies Face Box Office Test The Hollywood Reporter ·
- The Social Reckoning is flopping at the box office The Verge ·
- Aaron Sorkin’s ‘Social Reckoning’ is off to a weak start TechCrunch ·
Show 68 more sources
- Three Mark Zuckerbergs, Three Surprisingly Different Men The New York Times ·
- ‘The Social Reckoning’ Breakout Portia Doubleday on Playing ‘White Girl Wasted’ Conspiracy Theorist: ‘I Knew People Who Were Radicalized’ Variety ·
- From The Social Reckoning to Harriet Kemsley: your complete entertainment guide to the week ahead The Guardian Culture ·
- Bill Burr on ‘The Social Reckoning,’ Sparring With Jeremy Strong as Mark Zuckerberg and Why Tech CEOs are ‘Leading Us to Ruin’ Variety Australia ·
- Bill Burr on ‘The Social Reckoning,’ Sparring With Jeremy Strong as Mark Zuckerberg and Why Tech CEOs are ‘Leading Us to Ruin’ Variety ·
- ‘The Social Reckoning’ Stars Mikey Madison and Jeremy Allen White Discuss the Pressure of Following ‘The Social Network’ The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Frances Haugen hopes The Social Reckoning will inspire more whistleblowers The Verge ·
- The new Darth Vader: how tech execs became the film villains of our age The Guardian Culture ·
- Zuckerberg Loses Control in “The Social Reckoning” The New York Times ·
- Aaron Sorkin on ‘The Social Reckoning’ The New York Times ·
- What to Know About the Facebook Whistle-Blowing Case Depicted in ‘The Social Reckoning’ The New York Times ·
- ‘Social Reckoning’ Faces Box Office Challenge With ‘Other Mommy’ Set to Scare Away Competition The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Newport Beach Film Fest: ‘Social Reckoning’ Filmmaker Aaron Sorkin Set for Maverick Award, Live Episode of ‘Awards Chatter’ Podcast The Hollywood Reporter ·
- ‘The Social Reckoning’ Filmmaker Aaron Sorkin Isn’t Ruling Out a Zuckerberg Trilogy The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Aaron Sorkin and Mikey Madison on ‘The Social Reckoning’: Getting Inside a Whistleblower’s Mind, Jeremy Strong’s ‘Antihero’ Zuckerberg and Why Trump is the Movie’s Voldemort Variety ·
- ‘The Social Reckoning’ Review: Sounding the Alarm The New York Times ·
- Box Office: ‘The Social Reckoning’ Targets $7 Million Opening Weekend, ‘Other Mommy’ to Scare Up $20 Million-Plus Debut Variety ·
- What The Social Reckoning gets right — and wrong The Verge ·
- ‘The Social Reckoning’ Review: Aaron Sorkin’s ‘Social Network’ Follow-Up Is Missing More Than Just David Fincher Variety ·
- The Social Reckoning review – Aaron Sorkin’s jittery sequel with all-new evil puppet Zuckerberg The Guardian Culture ·
- ‘The Social Reckoning’ Already Feels Irrelevant Feed: All Latest ·
- The Social Reckoning is a tepid thriller that reminds us of how we got here The Verge ·
- ‘The Social Reckoning’ Review: Aaron Sorkin Savages Facebook Once Again in Sharp Whistleblower Thriller Led by Mikey Madison and Jeremy Allen White Movies | Hollywood Reporter ·
- Aaron Sorkin’s ‘The Social Reckoning’: First Reactions The Hollywood Reporter ·
- ‘The Social Reckoning’ First Reactions: A ‘Solid Sequel,’ ‘Good, Just Not Great Film’ and a ‘Harsh Assessment of Zuckerberg’ Variety ·
- Aaron Sorkin on Why Mark Zuckerberg Isn’t a Villain in ‘The Social Reckoning,’ Despite That “He’s Making Bad Decisions That Are Hurting Us” The Hollywood Reporter ·
- ‘The Social Reckoning’ Is an Even Bigger Burn on Mark Zuckerberg Than You Think The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Aaron Sorkin Says It ‘Never Occurred’ to Him That Jesse Eisenberg Wouldn’t Play Mark Zuckerberg in ‘The Social Reckoning,’ Claims the Paycheck Was a ‘Disincentive’ Variety ·
- ‘A Few Good Men’ on Broadway: Aaron Sorkin, Bradley Whitford and Team Behind Revival on Why It’s ’So Fucking Relevant’ in Trump Era Variety ·
- ‘The Social Reckoning’ Soundtrack Features New Music From Composer Alexandre Desplat Variety ·
- Aaron Sorkin Made a Movie About Her. She Just Hopes Mark Zuckerberg Watches. The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Aaron Sorkin Bets On Himself to Deliver a Worthy ‘Social Network’ Follow-Up. No Pressure The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Aaron Sorkin Says ‘Social Reckoning’ Reshoots Had Nothing to Do With Trailer Backlash, Explains Why Trump Isn’t Named: It’s ‘Not a Red-Blue Thing’ Variety ·
- The Social Reckoning Review: Sorkin’s Facebook Film Is Uncomfortably Relevant CNET
- Jeremy Allen White and Mikey Madison on the Perils of Social Media Rolling Stone
- Jesse Eisenberg still wants nothing to do with Mark Zuckerberg, thanks for asking The A.V. Club
- Jesse Eisenberg Reveals Thoughts On ‘The Social Reckoning’ & Why He Turned Down Zuckerberg Role Deadline
- Mark Zuckerberg gets the last laugh as ‘The Social Reckoning’ flops—opening to a fraction of what ‘The Social Network’ made 16 years ago Fortune
- Mark Zuckerberg stopped being compelling when Aaron Sorkin decided he was tragic The A.V. Club
- Jeremy Strong argued with Aaron Sorkin in-character as Mark Zuckerberg over this one line in 'The Social Reckoning' All Content from Business Insider
- The movie about a Facebook whistleblower who leaked incriminating details disappoints, and ‘The Social Reckoning’ will likely lag ‘The Social Network’ Fortune
- ‘The Social Reckoning’ Bombs With $5.5 Million Opening. Why Did Aaron Sorkin’s Facebook Follow-Up Fail at the Box Office? IndieWire
- Bill Burr vs. Facebook: Inside ‘The Social Reckoning’ Fantasy of the Comedian Speaking Truth to Power Features – IndieWire
- In 2014, Mark Zuckerberg called this movie 'hurtful. Now, Sony is trolling Meta CEO Times of India
- Why ‘The Social Reckoning’ Reimagines Facebook’s Offices as a Palace of Fear Features – IndieWire
- With 'The Social Reckoning,' Aaron Sorkin makes Mark Zuckerberg uncool All Content from Business Insider
- ‘The Social Reckoning’ Wants to Be ‘All the Zuckerberg’s Men’ Rolling Stone
- The Social Reckoning — a Sequel Without Accountability National Review
- At the movies, tech founders like Mark Zuckerberg and Elon Musk are in their villain era All Content from Business Insider
- How the cast of 'The Social Reckoning' compares to the real-life people they're playing All Content from Business Insider
- Mikey Madison plays a Facebook whistleblower in 'The Social Reckoning.' Here's where the real Frances Haugen is now. All Content from Business Insider
- The Facebook whistleblower behind ‘The Social Reckoning’ says Zuckerberg is ‘playing with fire’ on AI Fortune
- Aaron Sorkin, Mikey Madison, Jeremy Allen White: The director and cast behind the Facebook sequel France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- ‘The Social Reckoning’ Is the Kind of Film That the Oscars Have Moved Past Recognizing IndieWire
- ‘The Social Reckoning’ review: solid sequel to the original social media horror story NME
- Mark Zuckerberg disappears from his own story in The Social Reckoning The A.V. Club
- The Social Reckoning Review: Aaron Sorkin Goes Scorched Earth on Facebook Consequence
- The Social Reckoning is a timely reminder that we shouldn't trust Meta Engadget
- ‘The Social Reckoning’ Review: Jeremy Allen White And Mikey Madison Expose Facebook In Aaron Sorkin’s Stirring Journalistic Thriller Sequel Deadline
- ‘The Social Reckoning’ Review: Aaron Sorkin’s Facebook Files Only Expose Bad Performances and an Even Lousier Script IndieWire
- After Playing ‘Bombastic and Emotionally Volatile’ Roles, Mikey Madison Craved the ‘Restraint’ of ‘The Social Reckoning’ Features – IndieWire
- ‘The Social Reckoning’ review: solid sequel to the original social media horror story NME
- Jeremy Strong Says He Cares What Mark Zuckerberg Thinks About ‘The Social Reckoning’ Deadline
- Damn, Aaron Sorkin really gave Jesse Eisenberg the hard sell to come back as Mark Zuckerberg The A.V. Club
- Aaron Sorkin Says “It Never Occurred To Me” That Jesse Eisenberg Wouldn’t Want To Return For ‘The Social Reckoning’ Deadline
- Jeremy Strong's Mark Zuckerberg apparently had some defensive notes for Aaron Sorkin The A.V. Club
- Aaron Sorkin Clarifies He “Was Never Asked” To Omit Trump From ‘The Social Reckoning’ But Film Is “Not A Red-Blue Thing” Deadline
- Aaron Sorkin thinks The Social Reckoning should somehow not be political The A.V. Club
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi The Social Reckoning 4%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi The Social Reckoning 27%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- The Social Reckoning
- Aaron Sorkin
- Mark Zuckerberg
- Jeremy Strong
- Meta