Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$201
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves14 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 17 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Oct, 11:06 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Oct, 20:41 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Oct, 19:20 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Oct, 18:03 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if The Social Reckoning wins Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards on March 14, 2027. It resolves to No if the film does not win or is not officially nominated when nominees are announced on January 21, 2027. Readers often mistake box office performance for eligibility, but only official nomination and award status from AMPAS count.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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