Yamal Scores as Spain Beat England 3-2 in Nations League Comeback
Lamine Yamal opened the scoring for Spain, which recovered from a deficit to defeat England 3-2 despite Harry Kane missing a penalty.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 39% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 57% |
| 28 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 33% |
| 28 Sept, 02:48 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 32% |
| 27 Sept, 20:36 UTC | 31% |
| 27 Sept, 19:05 UTC | 32% |
| 27 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 63% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 64% |
| 27 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 42% |
| 27 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 64% |
| 27 Sept, 01:17 UTC | 62% |
| 26 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 55% |
| 26 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 54% |
| 26 Sept, 19:16 UTC | 65% |
| 26 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 66% |
| 25 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 63% |
| 25 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 36% |
| 25 Sept, 06:03 UTC | 38% |
| 25 Sept, 05:02 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Sept, 02:13 UTC | 66% |
| 24 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 67% |
| 23 Sept, 20:54 UTC | 0% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 26 Sept 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 26 September at 21:09 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Spain — the market puts it at 39%, with $892 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 28 Jun 2027. The outcome is Yes if Spain wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League tournament. The outcome is No if any other team wins that specific title. Readers often mistake this for the current year's competition or confuse it with winning a single match rather than the entire championship.
- Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? — the market puts it at 17%, with $31 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 19 Jun 2027. For the Yes outcome, Lamine Yamal must have more assists than any other player in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League main tournament rounds. For the No outcome, another player must record more assists, or he must tie with others but lose the alphabetical tiebreaker. Readers often mistake the deadline for June 19, 2027, as the cutoff for when the competition ends rather than the window for declaring an official leader.
- Lamine Yamal — the market puts it at 10%, closing 13 Jun 2027. The outcome is Yes if Lamine Yamal finishes as the top goal scorer in the 2026-27 Champions League season. The outcome is No if he does not lead the tournament in goals. Readers often mistake this for a general career milestone rather than a specific statistical title for one season.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Spain 39% +7
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- Polymarket Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? 17%
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- Kalshi Lamine Yamal 10%
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