Spain
Implied probability 35%−3
24-hour volume$502
Total volume$49k
Liquidity$49k
Resolves28 Jun 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 35% |
| 17 Oct, 04:30 UTC | 35% |
| 17 Oct, 04:23 UTC | 38% |
| 17 Oct, 01:57 UTC | 36% |
| 16 Oct, 16:20 UTC | 37% |
| 16 Oct, 05:42 UTC | 38% |
| 16 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 37% |
| 15 Oct, 20:10 UTC | 36% |
| 15 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 38% |
| 15 Oct, 00:42 UTC | 37% |
| 15 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 38% |
| 14 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 36% |
| 14 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 38% |
| 14 Oct, 21:06 UTC | 36% |
| 14 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 37% |
| 14 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 40% |
| 14 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 39% |
| 14 Oct, 00:48 UTC | 37% |
| 13 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 40% |
| 13 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 36% |
| 13 Oct, 19:45 UTC | 39% |
| 13 Oct, 19:18 UTC | 37% |
| 13 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 39% |
| 13 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 40% |
| 13 Oct, 16:04 UTC | 41% |
| 13 Oct, 13:18 UTC | 43% |
| 13 Oct, 08:20 UTC | 41% |
| 13 Oct, 06:35 UTC | 42% |
| 13 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 43% |
| 13 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 42% |
| 13 Oct, 01:01 UTC | 43% |
| 13 Oct, 00:01 UTC | 46% |
| 12 Oct, 22:08 UTC | 42% |
| 12 Oct, 21:26 UTC | 40% |
| 12 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 39% |
| 12 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 44% |
| 12 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 41% |
| 12 Oct, 17:12 UTC | 38% |
| 12 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 42% |
| 12 Oct, 01:37 UTC | 39% |
| 11 Oct, 21:43 UTC | 38% |
| 11 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 37% |
| 11 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 39% |
| 11 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 38% |
| 11 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 36% |
| 11 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 37% |
| 11 Oct, 12:39 UTC | 38% |
| 11 Oct, 11:20 UTC | 37% |
| 11 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 41% |
| 11 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 39% |
| 11 Oct, 05:06 UTC | 42% |
| 10 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 39% |
| 10 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 44% |
| 10 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 46% |
| 10 Oct, 19:18 UTC | 43% |
| 10 Oct, 18:01 UTC | 47% |
| 10 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 49% |
| 10 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 47% |
| 10 Oct, 15:34 UTC | 45% |
| 10 Oct, 13:07 UTC | 49% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Spain wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League tournament. The outcome is No if any other team wins that specific title. Readers often mistake this for the current year's competition or confuse it with winning a single match rather than the entire championship.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 35%
- No 65%