Developers Create Apps for iPhone Duo as Apple Targets 6 Million Sales in 2026
Developers are showcasing apps for the upcoming iPhone Duo while Counterpoint Research estimates Apple will sell 6 million units in 2026.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 23 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 100% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 100% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 100% |
| 18 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 100% |
| 18 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 99% |
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| 15 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 99% |
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| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 99% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? respond.
The story so far
9 publishers have covered this in 14 articles since 28 Sept 2026. TechCrunch published first, on 28 September at 16:47 UTC; Inc. followed 25h 56m later. The most recent article, from The Verge, appeared on 6 October at 18:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: TechCrunch (major outlet), Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), Axios (major outlet), The Verge (major outlet), Inc., CNET, zdnet.com, Quartz, Engadget.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? — resolved “Yes” on 23 Oct 2026. For the outcome to be Yes, Apple must make a foldable smartphone available for public purchase by October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. An announcement or unveiling alone does not count; the device must be purchasable by the general public within that timeframe. Readers often mistakenly believe that an official announcement is sufficient, but the product must actually be available for purchase.
- Fold / Folding / Foldable — resolved “Yes” on 3 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if any Apple representative mentions Fold, Folding, or Foldable during the upcoming earnings call and Q&A session. The outcome is No if these terms are not mentioned by an Apple representative in that specific setting. Readers often mistake general rumors or reports from other sources for official statements made during the call.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- TechCrunchThe iPhone Duo may already have its first killer app: a virtual Walkman99%
- Inc.Apple’s iPhone Duo Isn’t Even Out Yet, But This 1 Delightful App Already Shows Its Biggest Promise99%
- CNETLook Out for This iPhone Duo Preorder Scam That Can Steal Your Data99%
- Bloomberg TechnologyApple Will Sell 6 Million iPhone Duos in 2026, Counterpoint Says99%
- zdnet.comThis foldable phone might be the iPhone Duo’s fiercest rival – if not for one thing99%
- CNETThe iPhone Duo Isn’t for Everyone. It Doesn’t Need to Be99%
- Inc.Apple’s $1,999 Foldable iPhone Is Reportedly Facing a Production Problem. Samsung Knows It Well99%
- QuartzJim Cramer is urging investors to buy Apple stock ahead of foldable iPhone launch99%
- EngadgetiPhone Duo vs. iPad Mini: Which Apple device is right for you?99%
- EngadgetHow the iPhone Duo will improve your group selfies99%
Show 4 later sources
- RSS 2.0The popular Apple features you won't be getting with the iPhone Duo99%
- AxiosApp-makers are having a blast with the iPhone Duo, turning it into a retro Walkman99%
- EngadgetApple iPhone Duo vs. Motorola Razr Ultra: How do these foldables compare?99%
- The VergeSamsung’s Z Fold 8 is hundreds off ahead of iPhone Duo launch99%
- Market resolved: Yes
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Samsung’s Z Fold 8 is hundreds off ahead of iPhone Duo launch The Verge ·
- App-makers are having a blast with the iPhone Duo, turning it into a retro Walkman Axios ·
- Apple Will Sell 6 Million iPhone Duos in 2026, Counterpoint Says Bloomberg Technology ·
- The iPhone Duo may already have its first killer app: a virtual Walkman TechCrunch ·
- Apple iPhone Duo vs. Motorola Razr Ultra: How do these foldables compare? Engadget
- The popular Apple features you won't be getting with the iPhone Duo RSS 2.0
Show 8 more sources
- How the iPhone Duo will improve your group selfies Engadget
- iPhone Duo vs. iPad Mini: Which Apple device is right for you? Engadget
- Jim Cramer is urging investors to buy Apple stock ahead of foldable iPhone launch Quartz
- Apple’s $1,999 Foldable iPhone Is Reportedly Facing a Production Problem. Samsung Knows It Well Inc.
- The iPhone Duo Isn’t for Everyone. It Doesn’t Need to Be CNET
- This foldable phone might be the iPhone Duo’s fiercest rival – if not for one thing zdnet.com
- Look Out for This iPhone Duo Preorder Scam That Can Steal Your Data CNET
- Apple’s iPhone Duo Isn’t Even Out Yet, But This 1 Delightful App Already Shows Its Biggest Promise Inc.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? Yes 15d ago
The market favoured Yes at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Fold / Folding / Foldable Yes 4d ago
The market favoured Yes at 87% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?