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Fold / Folding / Foldable

Implied probability 86%+4
24-hour volume$88
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves12 Nov 2026

Why it moved: +6 points at 16:22 UTC, after Inc.: Samsung Built the Foldable First. Now Apple Wants the Creator Crowd — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Fold / Folding / Foldable
0%50%100%86%26 Oct, 13:23 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now86%
2 Nov, 09:52 UTC86%
2 Nov, 03:49 UTC90%
2 Nov, 02:30 UTC87%
1 Nov, 20:57 UTC86%
1 Nov, 16:22 UTC88%
1 Nov, 09:28 UTC82%
1 Nov, 07:04 UTC87%
31 Oct, 06:01 UTC86%
31 Oct, 05:47 UTC82%
31 Oct, 01:46 UTC86%
30 Oct, 22:33 UTC84%
30 Oct, 19:20 UTC82%
30 Oct, 17:20 UTC83%
30 Oct, 01:21 UTC85%
29 Oct, 06:58 UTC80%
29 Oct, 05:22 UTC86%
28 Oct, 20:44 UTC82%
28 Oct, 17:16 UTC80%
27 Oct, 21:40 UTC83%
26 Oct, 13:23 UTC79%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if any Apple representative mentions Fold, Folding, or Foldable during the upcoming earnings call and Q&A session. The outcome is No if these terms are not mentioned by an Apple representative in that specific setting. Readers often mistake general rumors or reports from other sources for official statements made during the call.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 86%
  • No 14%

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