Venezuela Bolivar Hits New Milestone as Dollar Supply Declines
The currency weakened past 1,000 per dollar in the parallel market for the first time.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 68% |
| 12 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 68% |
| 9 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 59% |
| 8 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 74% |
| 4 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 68% |
| 28 Sept, 18:24 UTC | 59% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 2 articles since 8 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 8 October at 17:14 UTC. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 9 October at 19:06 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- At least 1.1M bpd — the market puts it at 68%, with $219 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Venezuela’s average daily crude oil production for September reaches at least 1.1 million barrels per day. The resolution depends on data in the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published after that month.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi At least 1.1M bpd 68% +9
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In this story
- Venezuela