US Imposes Sanctions on International Criminal Court, Vowing to Dismantle It

The US has imposed sweeping sanctions on the ICC, prompting strong rejection from the court and concern from allies including Japan.

18 publishers · 32 articles · first seen 9 Oct 2026 · updated 23d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by Hacker News, 7 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · United Nations

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	9%
16 Oct, 01:09 UTC	9%
14 Oct, 00:41 UTC	10%
9 Oct, 11:22 UTC	15%
8 Oct, 15:04 UTC	16%
29 Sept, 15:59 UTC	20%
26 Sept, 17:32 UTC	16%
26 Sept, 16:48 UTC	20%
22 Sept, 13:07 UTC	12%

The story so far

18 publishers have covered this in 32 articles since 9 Oct 2026. Hacker News published first, on 9 October at 14:31 UTC; The Hill followed 8 min later. The most recent article, from The Hill News, appeared on 15 October at 13:30 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill News (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), politico.com (major outlet), CBS News (major outlet), Bloomberg.com (major outlet), NPR Politics (major outlet), Hacker News, News - South China Morning Post, Deutsche Welle and 6 more, all listed under Sources below.

One prediction market prices this story:

United Nations — the market puts it at 9%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if the United States fully withdraws from the United Nations before January 20, 2029. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the deadline.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on United Nations at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

9 Oct, 14:31Hacker News US imposes sanctions on ICC hours after former judge wins Nobel Peace Prize15%
9 Oct, 14:39The Hill US sanctions global court as judge awarded Nobel Peace Prize15%
9 Oct, 14:51News - South China Morning Post US slaps sanctions on ICC, hours after ex-judge wins Nobel15%
9 Oct, 14:53Deutsche Welle US imposes sanctions aiming to 'dismantle' International Criminal Court15%
9 Oct, 14:55Hacker News Imposing Sanctions on the International Criminal Court15%
9 Oct, 15:08Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera US sanctions International Criminal Court itself in latest escalation15%
9 Oct, 15:11The Guardian US imposes sanctions on international criminal court15%
9 Oct, 15:19France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines International Criminal Court faces 'test of resilience' as US imposes sweeping sanctions15%
9 Oct, 15:19France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines US sanctions on ICC: a 'test of resilience'15%
9 Oct, 15:23The New York Times Trump Administration Hits International Criminal Court With Severe Sanctions15%
Show 22 later sources
1. 9 Oct, 15:50News Feed US announces sanctions campaign to ‘end’ ICC15%
2. 9 Oct, 15:54politico.com Trump administration launches new sanctions on International Criminal Court15%
3. 9 Oct, 15:59Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ‘Rogue court’: US sanctions ICC hours after ex-judge wins Nobel Prize15%
4. 9 Oct, 16:02CBS News U.S. sanctions ICC, vowing to dismantle it "brick by brick" without changes15%
5. 9 Oct, 16:06BBC News US imposes sanctions on International Criminal Court15%
6. 9 Oct, 17:57kyivindependent.com US sanctions court that seeks to arrest Putin, prompts backlash15%
7. 9 Oct, 18:06Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ‘An attack against sovereign states’: ICC President slams US sanctions15%
8. 9 Oct, 18:25Fox News Politics Marco Rubio announces sweeping financial sanctions against the International Criminal Court15%
9. 9 Oct, 19:32Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera European states, Canada, Japan and UN back ICC against US sanctions15%
10. 9 Oct, 20:25The Hill International Criminal Court 'firmly rejects' new US sanctions15%
11. 9 Oct, 21:30Fortune ‘Piece by piece’: Trump administration vows to dismantle the International Criminal Court with sweeping new sanctions15%
12. 9 Oct, 22:02Latest articles U.S. sanctions ICC after former judge wins Nobel Peace Prize15%
13. 10 Oct, 03:23Bloomberg.com Takaichi Says Japan ‘Deeply Concerned’ by US Sanctions on ICC15%
14. 10 Oct, 11:40NPR Politics U.S. imposes sweeping sanctions on International Criminal Court15%
15. 10 Oct, 14:19Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Why is the US sanctioning the International Criminal Court?15%
16. 10 Oct, 15:23BBC News Nobel peace laureate says US sanctions on ICC 'unacceptable'15%
17. 10 Oct, 19:59Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Why is the Trump administration trying to dismantle the ICC?15%
18. 11 Oct, 01:41Latest articles Rubio cites ‘necessity’ of U.S. sanctions on ICC in call with Japanese counterpart15%
19. 11 Oct, 15:15Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera How the ICC can be saved15%
20. 13 Oct, 05:32Latest articles Takaichi pledges support for the ICC and its Japanese president15%
21. 14 Oct, 17:14The Guardian US Judge blocks US sanctions on rights groups helping ICC Gaza war crimes inquiry10%▼5 points since the previous source
22. 15 Oct, 13:30The Hill News Trump’s new sanctions could dismantle the International Criminal Court10%
NowCurrent odds9%

Sources

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Kalshi United Nations 9% $0 24hends 20 Jan 2029
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In this story

International Criminal Court
United States
Marco Rubio
Sanae Takaichi
Tomoko Akane

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