US Operation Absolute Resolve Disarms Venezuela Dictator

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 23 Sept 2026. The Hill News published first, on 23 September at 12:30 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Before Jun 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 24%, closing 1 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Venezuela holds a presidential election before June 1, 2027. It resolves to No if no such election occurs by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news headline for the resolution criteria instead of the actual election event.
• Donald Trump — the market puts it at 1%, with $589 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially holds the position of head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistakenly believe that any informal influence or temporary control counts toward resolution.
• Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? — the market puts it at 0%, with $184 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Frank Donovan officially holds the position of Venezuela's head of state on December 31, 2026, at 12 PM ET. It resolves to No if any other individual holds that role or if no one holds it. Readers often mistake a nomination or announcement for official status, but only confirmed, sworn-in leaders count.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.