Apple Ordered to Pay $5.7 Billion in Haptic Patent Infringement Case
A US jury awarded Taction Technology $5.7 billion after finding Apple infringed two haptic patents, though the company plans to appeal.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 26% |
| 1 Nov, 21:48 UTC | 26% |
| 1 Nov, 20:07 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 00:17 UTC | 22% |
| 30 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 29% |
| 28 Oct, 05:51 UTC | 22% |
| 27 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 25% |
| 26 Oct, 01:19 UTC | 28% |
| 25 Oct, 21:21 UTC | 25% |
| 25 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 23% |
| 23 Oct, 17:04 UTC | 32% |
| 21 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 28% |
| 20 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 31% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 24% |
| 19 Oct, 02:22 UTC | 27% |
| 18 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 29% |
| 17 Oct, 21:04 UTC | 27% |
| 17 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 32% |
| 17 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 27% |
| 15 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 30% |
| 15 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 27% |
| 12 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 30% |
| 12 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 28% |
| 11 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 23% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 27% |
| 10 Oct, 17:55 UTC | 23% |
| 10 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 22% |
| 9 Oct, 10:40 UTC | 27% |
| 9 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 32% |
| 8 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 27% |
| 8 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 27% |
| 6 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Oct, 01:50 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Oct, 16:33 UTC | 36% |
| 5 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 28% |
| 4 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 26% |
| 1 Oct, 01:12 UTC | 27% |
| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 35% |
| 30 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 31% |
| 28 Sept, 02:41 UTC | 32% |
| 27 Sept, 02:39 UTC | 25% |
| 26 Sept, 17:32 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Sept, 16:04 UTC | 25% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before 2030 respond.
The story so far
8 publishers have covered this in 9 articles since 26 Sept 2026. Hacker News published first, on 26 September at 16:46 UTC; Engadget followed 16 min later. The most recent article, from cnet.com, appeared on 28 September at 22:04 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Verge (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Hacker News, Engadget, Times of India, Quartz, cnet.com.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Before 2030 — the market puts it at 26%, closing 1 Jan 2030. The market resolves to Yes if the District Court for the District of New Jersey finds Apple responsible for any antitrust claims brought by the Department of Justice. It resolves to No if the court does not make such a finding before 2030. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the ruling must occur immediately rather than anytime before the year 2030.
- Tariff — resolved “Yes” on 3 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if an Apple representative mentions a tariff during the upcoming earnings call or its question-and-answer session. The outcome is No if no such mention occurs within that specific event. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking any future comment counts instead of only what happens during this single call.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before 2030 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Hacker NewsUS jury says Apple owes record $5.7B in haptic technology patent case25%
- EngadgetApple hit with a $5.7 billion verdict for alleged patent infringement25%
- The VergeApple hit with $5.7 billion in damages over haptic patents79%▲54 points since the previous source
- Times of IndiaCourt asks Apple to pay $5.7 bn in patent case; Apple vows to appeal25%▼54 points since the previous source
- News FeedBurford Capital to gain up to $1.4bn from Apple patent defeat32%▲7 points since the previous source
- QuartzJury handed Apple a record $5.7 billion verdict over iPhone vibration patents32%
- QuartzDie Jury sprach Apple ein Rekordurteil von 5,7 Milliarden Dollar wegen iPhone-Vibrationspatenten zu.32%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraApple ordered to pay $5.7bn in patent infringement case32%
- cnet.comApple Ordered to Pay $5.7 Billion for Infringing Haptics Patent in iPhone, Apple Watch32%
- Current odds26%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Apple ordered to pay $5.7bn in patent infringement case Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Burford Capital to gain up to $1.4bn from Apple patent defeat News Feed ·
- Apple hit with $5.7 billion in damages over haptic patents The Verge ·
- Apple Ordered to Pay $5.7 Billion for Infringing Haptics Patent in iPhone, Apple Watch cnet.com
- Jury handed Apple a record $5.7 billion verdict over iPhone vibration patents Quartz
- Die Jury sprach Apple ein Rekordurteil von 5,7 Milliarden Dollar wegen iPhone-Vibrationspatenten zu. Quartz
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Before 2030 26%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Tariff Yes 4d ago
The market favoured Yes at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Apple
- Taction