Before 2030
Implied probability 25%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$61k
Liquidity$61k
Resolves1 Jan 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 25% |
| 4 Nov, 07:04 UTC | 25% |
| 4 Nov, 03:03 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 21:48 UTC | 26% |
| 1 Nov, 20:07 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 00:17 UTC | 22% |
| 30 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 29% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the District Court for the District of New Jersey finds Apple responsible for any antitrust claims brought by the Department of Justice. It resolves to No if the court does not make such a finding before 2030. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the ruling must occur immediately rather than anytime before the year 2030.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 25%
- No 75%