US Issues Grid Emergency Order to PJM Amid October Heatwave
The DOE empowers PJM Interconnection to manage generation and activate backup power at data centers through October 16 to stabilize the grid during peak demand.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 65% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 65% |
| 15 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 67% |
| 15 Oct, 10:45 UTC | 63% |
| 14 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 62% |
| 14 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 63% |
| 14 Oct, 12:13 UTC | 62% |
| 13 Oct, 11:35 UTC | 42% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 13 Oct 2026. Times of India published first, on 13 October at 10:53 UTC; Quartz followed 24h 27m later. The most recent article, from Quartz, appeared on 14 October at 11:20 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Times of India, Quartz.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Above 15 days — the market puts it at 65%, with $44 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a PJM Maximum Generation Emergency/Load Management Alert applies for more than 15 calendar days in 2026. It resolves to No if that alert applies for 15 days or fewer. Readers often mistake the linked news story about an October heatwave as the sole trigger, but the resolution depends strictly on the total count of alert days throughout the entire year.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Above 15 days 65% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- DOE
- PJM
- Chris Wright