US Consumer Sentiment Falls to Four-Month Low on Inflation Fears
The University of Michigan survey shows September sentiment dropped to a four-month low as year-ahead inflation expectations jumped to 4.6%.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Bloomberg Markets, 1h 20m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 25 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 16% |
| 24 Sept, 17:39 UTC | 15% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Yes respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 25 Sept 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 25 September at 14:00 UTC; Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories followed 1h 20m later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 25 September at 21:17 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories, Quartz.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Yes — the market puts it at 16%, closing 18 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if any final University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index released in 2026 exceeds 65.0. It resolves to No if no such release occurs during that year. Readers often mistake preliminary estimates for the required final data.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Yes at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg MarketsUS Consumer Sentiment Falls on Concerns About Prices, Economy15%
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesTrade tensions, high prices and interest rates drive slip in consumers' outlook15%
- Bloomberg MarketsUS Consumer Sentiment Falls on Worries About Prices, Economy15%
- QuartzU.S. consumer sentiment is sinking to a four-month low as inflation fears deepen15%
- The HillConsumer confidence dips in September amid inflation concerns16%▲1 points since the previous source
- The HillConsumer confidence hits 4-month low16%
- Current odds16%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Consumer confidence hits 4-month low The Hill ·
- Consumer confidence dips in September amid inflation concerns The Hill ·
- US Consumer Sentiment Falls on Worries About Prices, Economy Bloomberg Markets ·
- US Consumer Sentiment Falls on Concerns About Prices, Economy Bloomberg Markets ·
- U.S. consumer sentiment is sinking to a four-month low as inflation fears deepen Quartz
- Trade tensions, high prices and interest rates drive slip in consumers' outlook Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Yes 16%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- University of Michigan
- Joanne Hsu