UK Antitrust Watchdog Proposes Opening iPhone NFC to Rivals
The UK regulator proposes forcing Apple to open its contactless technology, enabling rival digital wallets and car keys.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Bloomberg Technology, 2h 29m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 26% |
| 1 Nov, 21:48 UTC | 26% |
| 1 Nov, 20:07 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 00:17 UTC | 22% |
| 30 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 29% |
| 28 Oct, 05:51 UTC | 22% |
| 27 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 25% |
| 26 Oct, 01:19 UTC | 28% |
| 25 Oct, 21:21 UTC | 25% |
| 25 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 23% |
| 23 Oct, 17:04 UTC | 32% |
| 21 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 28% |
| 20 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 31% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 24% |
| 19 Oct, 02:22 UTC | 27% |
| 18 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 29% |
| 17 Oct, 21:04 UTC | 27% |
| 17 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 32% |
| 17 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 27% |
| 15 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 30% |
| 15 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 27% |
| 12 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 30% |
| 12 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 28% |
| 11 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 23% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 27% |
| 10 Oct, 17:55 UTC | 23% |
| 10 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 22% |
| 9 Oct, 10:40 UTC | 27% |
| 9 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 32% |
| 8 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 27% |
| 8 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 27% |
| 6 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 35% |
| 6 Oct, 01:50 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Oct, 16:33 UTC | 36% |
| 5 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 28% |
| 4 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 26% |
| 1 Oct, 01:12 UTC | 27% |
| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 35% |
| 30 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 31% |
| 28 Sept, 02:41 UTC | 32% |
| 27 Sept, 02:39 UTC | 25% |
| 26 Sept, 17:32 UTC | 79% |
| 25 Sept, 16:04 UTC | 25% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before 2030 respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 20 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Technology published first, on 20 October at 10:00 UTC; BBC Technology followed 2h 29m later. The most recent article, from Inc., appeared on 20 October at 19:23 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), BBC Technology, RSS 2.0, Inc..
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Before 2030 — the market puts it at 26%, closing 1 Jan 2030. The market resolves to Yes if the District Court for the District of New Jersey finds Apple responsible for any antitrust claims brought by the Department of Justice. It resolves to No if the court does not make such a finding before 2030. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the ruling must occur immediately rather than anytime before the year 2030.
- Tariff — resolved “Yes” on 3 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if an Apple representative mentions a tariff during the upcoming earnings call or its question-and-answer session. The outcome is No if no such mention occurs within that specific event. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking any future comment counts instead of only what happens during this single call.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before 2030 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg TechnologyApple Faces UK Pressure to Open iPhone to Rival Wallets24%
- BBC TechnologyUK asks Apple to widen access to its payment tech24%
- RSS 2.0UK antitrust regulator wants Apple to open up iPhone NFC access24%
- Inc.Apple Is Turning Your iPhone Into a Car Key for 3 Popular Brands. Unlocking Is Only the Beginning31%▲7 points since the previous source
- Current odds26%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Apple Faces UK Pressure to Open iPhone to Rival Wallets Bloomberg Technology ·
- Apple Is Turning Your iPhone Into a Car Key for 3 Popular Brands. Unlocking Is Only the Beginning Inc.
- UK antitrust regulator wants Apple to open up iPhone NFC access RSS 2.0
- UK asks Apple to widen access to its payment tech BBC Technology
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Before 2030 26%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Tariff Yes 4d ago
The market favoured Yes at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
Have your say
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