US Completes Troop Withdrawal from Iraq, Ending Decades-Long Mission

The story so far

17 publishers have covered this in 42 articles since 27 Sept 2026. NPR World published first, on 27 September at 21:14 UTC; South China Morning Post followed 33h 48m later. The most recent article, from Deutsche Welle, appeared on 5 October at 14:04 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: NPR World (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), ABC News (major outlet), CBS News (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), South China Morning Post, Hacker News, Sky News, Deutsche Welle and 5 more, all listed under Sources below.

2 prediction markets price this story:

• Iraq — the market puts it at 7%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Iraq before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if no such advisory action occurs by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Turkey as the deciding factor, but only official U.S. State Department travel advisories count.
• Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026? — resolved “Yes” on 8 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Iran launches an air strike or surface-to-surface missile at Iraq between now and September 30, 2026. The action must be explicitly claimed by Iran or confirmed to originate from Iranian territory; attacks by proxy forces do not count. Readers often mistake threats, cyber operations, or intercepted munitions for qualifying events, but only executed strikes against Iraqi territory matter.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.