Trump Says US Will End Military Aid to Israel by Year-End

The story so far

13 publishers have covered this in 25 articles since 3 Nov 2026. Fox News Politics published first, on 3 November at 12:46 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 56 min later. The most recent article, from South China Morning Post, appeared on 6 November at 05:00 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), politico.com (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), Bloomberg.com (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet), Fox News Politics, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, South China Morning Post, Times of India, Mother Jones, Deutsche Welle and 1 more, all listed under Sources below.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• During Trump's term — the market puts it at 24%, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if Israel and Saudi Arabia establish normal diplomatic relations before January 20, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about arms sales or other geopolitical events rather than the specific normalization of ties between these two nations.
• Before Jan 20, 2029 — the market puts it at 17%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if Israel and Syria establish formal diplomatic ties before January 20, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about the disinformation conference for the actual event required for resolution.
• Before Jan 20, 2029 — the market puts it at 10%, with $19 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if Israel and Qatar establish formal diplomatic ties before January 20, 2029. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Iran for the actual condition, but only the normalization of relations between Israel and Qatar matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.